Stars vs. Oilers Picks and Prediction – 5/25/2025

Dallas Stars (1-1) vs. Edmonton Oilers (1-1)
Time: 3:00 PM ET
Location: Rogers Place, Edmonton, AB
TV: ABC, ESPN+

Previous Games:

  • Stars: Dropped Game 2 at home 3-0 after winning the opener 6-3.

  • Oilers: Bounced back from Game 1 loss with a shutout win in Game 2.

Head-to-Head:

The series is tied 1-1 as the Western Conference Final shifts to Edmonton. The Oilers have been dominant at home, going 25-13-3 during the regular season, while the Stars are 22-16-3 on the road. Edmonton’s offense showed up in Game 2 after a tough Game 1.

Dallas Stars Breakdown:

The Stars have been a strong defensive team all year, allowing just 2.71 goals per game and boasting a solid 82.0% penalty kill. However, missing Roope Hintz has left a hole in their offensive production. Jake Oettinger remains solid in net with a 2.59 GAA and .909 SV%, but he needs support from his defense against Edmonton’s potent attack.

Key Players:

  • Jason Robertson: 35 goals this season, but hasn’t scored in the series yet.

  • Matt Duchene: 82 points, 52 assists, needs to create more offense in Hintz’s absence.

Edmonton Oilers Breakdown:

The Oilers’ offense is dangerous, leading the series in shots per game (32.0) and riding their powerful 23.7% power play. Goaltending has been shaky with Stuart Skinner (.896 SV%), but their firepower with Leon Draisaitl and Connor McDavid gives them a big edge at home.

Key Players:

  • Leon Draisaitl: 52 goals, 106 points, two-way force who sets the tone.

  • Connor McDavid: 74 assists, drives the pace and breaks down defenses.

Betting Trends:

Dallas Stars:

  • 6-3 in last 9 games.

  • UNDER has hit in 4 of last 5 games.

Edmonton Oilers:

  • 9-2 in last 11 games.

  • OVER has hit in 5 of last 6 home games vs. Dallas.

Exact Score Prediction:

Edmonton Oilers 4 – Dallas Stars 3

Our Best Bet:

Edmonton Oilers ML (-165)

Edmonton’s offense is built to thrive at home, and with Dallas missing Hintz, the Oilers’ scoring depth should carry them. The Stars will struggle to contain McDavid and Draisaitl in front of a fired-up home crowd. The total could go over, but the best bet remains the Oilers on the moneyline to take the 2-1 series lead. 

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