Stars vs. Jets Picks and Prediction – 5/9/2025

Dallas Stars (50-26-6) vs. Winnipeg Jets (56-22-4)
Time: 9:30 PM ET
Location: Canada Life Centre, Winnipeg, MB
TV: TNT / truTV / Max

Previous Games:

  • Stars: Won Game 1, 3-2, on the road

  • Jets: Lost Game 1, now down 0-1 in series

Head-to-Head:

Dallas edged out a 3-2 win in Game 1 thanks to a strong performance from Jake Oettinger and timely scoring. However, Winnipeg had more offensive zone time and will look to bounce back in front of their home crowd. The Jets had won 8 of their last 10 at home prior to the loss.

Dallas Stars Breakdown:

Dallas is hot, riding a 3-game win streak and winning 4 of their last 5 playoff contests. They’ve proven they can win on the road and have the better power play unit (22.0%). Matt Duchene and Jason Robertson continue to generate consistent offense, while Jake Oettinger has stepped up in net during this postseason stretch. However, Oettinger’s regular season numbers (2.59 GAA, .909 SV%) show he’s beatable, and Dallas has struggled defensively on the road lately, giving up 3.7 goals per game over their last 10 road games.

Key Players:

  • Matt Duchene: 82 points this season

  • Jason Robertson: 35 goals (21 PP goals)

  • Jake Oettinger: .909 SV%, 2.59 GAA

Winnipeg Jets Breakdown:

The Jets are elite at home (30-7-4 regular season record), and rarely drop back-to-back games in Winnipeg. They were snakebitten in Game 1 despite controlling play for stretches. Connor Hellebuyck has had a dominant season (2.01 GAA, .925 SV%) but has struggled recently in terms of stats. Still, the defensive core led by Morrissey (if healthy) and their 28.9% power play gives them the edge in high-leverage moments.

Key Players:

  • Kyle Connor: 97 points, 41 goals

  • Mark Scheifele: 9 points in last 10 games

  • Connor Hellebuyck: 2.01 GAA, .925 SV% (season)

Betting Trends:

Dallas Stars:

  • 5-2 in their last 7 games

  • Under has hit in 4 of their last 5 road games

  • 3-2 in last 5 road playoff games

Winnipeg Jets:

  • 8-2 in last 10 home games

  • Over has hit in 5 of their last 6 overall

  • Jets are 16-4 in their last 20 at home

Exact Score Prediction:

Winnipeg Jets 4 – Dallas Stars 2

Our Best Bet:

Winnipeg Jets ML (-125)

This is a classic bounce-back spot for a Jets team that thrives at home and rarely loses twice in a row on home ice. Dallas stole Game 1, but Winnipeg has the better goalie, more dominant special teams, and a strong history of bouncing back after tight losses. Expect Hellebuyck to respond with a big performance and the Jets' offense to convert on the power play.

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