Stars vs. Jets Picks and Prediction – 5/7/2025

Dallas Stars (50-26-6) vs. Winnipeg Jets (56-22-4)
Time: 9:30 PM ET
Location: Canada Life Centre, Winnipeg, MB
TV: ESPN

Previous Games:

  • Dallas: Closed out Colorado 4-2 in Game 6

  • Winnipeg: Advanced after a 4-3 2OT win over St. Louis

Head-to-Head:

This is the first matchup of the second round. Winnipeg won 2 of the 3 regular season meetings, including one at home. Both teams are coming in hot, but the Jets' home dominance and elite goaltending give them an early edge in the series.

Dallas Stars Breakdown:

Dallas enters this series having endured a tough battle with Colorado, showing grit but also exposing some weaknesses. They’ve averaged 3.35 goals per game this season but allowed 2.71, and that number could rise if Miro Heiskanen (day-to-day) isn’t on the ice. Goaltender Jake Oettinger has been dependable, but he’ll face his toughest test yet in a raucous Winnipeg environment.

Key Players:

  • Matt Duchene: 30 goals, 52 assists

  • Jason Robertson: 35 goals – Day-to-day

  • Jake Oettinger (G): 2.59 GAA, .909 SV%

Winnipeg Jets Breakdown:

The Jets are flying high, especially at home where they finished 30-7-4 this season. They allow just 2.32 goals per game, thanks in large part to Connor Hellebuyck, who has been elite all year. The offense is led by Kyle Connor, who continues to shine in key moments. If Mark Scheifele and Josh Morrissey suit up as expected, Winnipeg will be near full strength.

Key Players:

  • Kyle Connor: 41 goals, 56 assists

  • Connor Hellebuyck (G): 2.01 GAA, .925 SV%

  • Mark Scheifele: Expected to return from injury

Betting Trends:

Dallas Stars:

  • 4-2 in their last 6 games

  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of their last 6

Winnipeg Jets:

  • 5-0 in their last 5 home games

  • The total has gone OVER in all 5 of those games

Exact Score Prediction:

Winnipeg Jets 4 – Dallas Stars 3

Our Best Bet:

Winnipeg Jets ML (+105)

Winnipeg is rested, healthy, and dominant at home. With Hellebuyck in top form and Dallas potentially without key blue-liners like Heiskanen, the Jets hold the edge both in net and special teams. Their offense is humming, and their home ice advantage could be the deciding factor in Game 1.

Want access to our premium picks? Click here for a FREE 1 day trial

Back to blog