Stars vs. Jets Picks and Prediction – 5/15/2025

Dallas Stars (50-26-6) vs. Winnipeg Jets (56-22-4)
Time: 9:30 PM ET
Location: Canada Life Centre, Winnipeg, MB
TV: TNT, truTV, Max

Previous Games:

  • Stars: Won 3 straight, including back-to-back wins at home (5-2 and 3-1)

  • Jets: Lost 3 in a row after a 4-0 win in Game 2

Head-to-Head:

Dallas leads the series 3-1 after taking both home games and now looks to close things out on the road. Winnipeg, however, has one of the best home records in the NHL and will be playing with desperation to extend the series.

Dallas Stars Breakdown:

The Stars have shown their depth and structure, holding Winnipeg to just 3 total goals over the last two games. Jake Oettinger has been excellent, allowing just 2.59 goals per game with a .909 SV%, and the Stars' penalty kill has shut down the Jets' high-powered unit. Dallas also has balance offensively, with Matt Duchene (82 points) and Jason Robertson (35 goals) continuing to be impact players. Dallas has a solid 22-16-3 road record but will face serious pressure in a hostile Winnipeg environment.

Key Players:

  • Jason Robertson: 3 goals in the series

  • Matt Duchene: 2 assists in last game

  • Jake Oettinger: .909 SV%, 2.59 GAA

Winnipeg Jets Breakdown:

The Jets are facing elimination but return to Canada Life Centre, where they’ve gone 30-7-4 this season. Despite a 3-game skid, they’ve got the NHL’s top goals-against average (2.32) among playoff teams and allow just 27.2 shots per game. Connor Hellebuyck has been outstanding, recording 47 wins, a 2.01 GAA, and a .925 SV%. The Jets also have a strong 28.9% power-play unit, which could be key in a tight game. No injuries reported, and with their backs against the wall, expect a full-throttle effort.

Key Players:

  • Kyle Connor: 97 points (41 goals, 56 assists)

  • Mark Scheifele: 2 goals in the series

  • Connor Hellebuyck: .925 SV%, 2.01 GAA

Betting Trends:

Dallas Stars:

  • 4-1 in their last 5 games

  • Under has hit in 5 of their last 6 road games

Winnipeg Jets:

  • 8-2 in their last 10 home games

  • Over has hit in 6 of their last 9 games overall

Exact Score Prediction:

Winnipeg Jets 3 – Dallas Stars 2

Our Best Bet:

Winnipeg Jets ML (-120)

Backs against the wall, at home, with the better goalie and power play—this is the perfect spot for Winnipeg to bounce back. Hellebuyck has been elite all season, and the Jets are simply too good at home to go quietly. Expect a low-scoring, tight contest with Winnipeg doing just enough to force a Game 6.

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