Senators vs. Maple Leafs Picks and Prediction – 4/22/2025

Ottawa Senators (33-36-7) vs. Toronto Maple Leafs (47-25-4)
Time: 7:30 PM ET
Location: Scotiabank Arena, Toronto, ON
TV: ESPN2

Previous Games:

  • Maple Leafs: Took Game 1 of the series with a dominant performance

  • Senators: Dropped Game 1 and have now lost 3 straight road games

Head-to-Head:

Toronto leads the series 1-0 and has dominated Ottawa at home this season. The Leafs have won 8 straight home games and 9 of their last 10 overall, while the Senators continue to struggle away from home.

Ottawa Senators Breakdown:

Ottawa has shown flashes offensively, averaging 3.4 goals per game over their last 10. However, their defense has been shaky, giving up 3.1 goals per game, and goalie Linus Ullmark has struggled with a 3.04 GAA and a .889 SV%. The Senators are also taking 4.3 penalties per game, and although their PK is solid, giving a team like Toronto powerplay chances is dangerous.

Key Players:

  • Drake Batherson: 6 goals, 4 assists

  • Thomas Chabot: 3 goals, 7 assists

Toronto Maple Leafs Breakdown:

Toronto is one of the hottest teams in the NHL, riding a 5-game win streak and a suffocating defense that’s allowed just 1.6 goals per game in their last 10. Goaltender Anthony Stolarz has been elite with a 1.16 GAA and a .959 SV%, recording 3 shutouts during that span. Offensively, they’re led by Mitchell Marner and Auston Matthews, who have combined for 27 points over their last 10.

Key Players:

  • Mitchell Marner: 6 goals, 9 assists

  • Auston Matthews: 4 goals, 8 assists

Betting Trends:

Ottawa Senators:

  • Lost 4 of last 5 road games

  • 10-16 in last 26 road games overall

  • Lost 3 straight on the road

Toronto Maple Leafs:

  • 5 straight wins

  • 9-1 in last 10 games

  • 8 consecutive home wins

Exact Score Prediction:

Toronto Maple Leafs 4 – Ottawa Senators 1

Our Best Bet:

Toronto Maple Leafs -1.5 (+140)

Toronto has been nearly untouchable at home, and with a goalie playing at an elite level and a high-powered offense, they’re set up perfectly to cover the puck line. Ottawa's road struggles and goaltending inconsistency make them vulnerable in a hostile playoff environment. The Leafs should control this one from start to finish and take a 2-0 series lead.

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