Senators vs. Maple Leafs Picks and Prediction – 4/20/2025

Ottawa Senators (45-35-2) vs. Toronto Maple Leafs (52-22-8)
Time: 7:00 PM ET
Location: Scotiabank Arena, Toronto, ON
TV: ESPN2

Previous Games:

  • Senators: 3-1-1 in their last 5

  • Maple Leafs: 5-game win streak

Head-to-Head:

Ottawa has won the last 5 matchups against Toronto, but with the Leafs entering the playoffs as one of the hottest teams in the league and a superior overall lineup, Toronto is the favorite to dominate in Game 1.

Ottawa Senators Breakdown:

The Senators have been solid, posting 6 wins in their last 10 games and scoring 3.2 goals per game. However, their defense has been shaky, allowing 2.6 goals per game. Anton Forsberg has been solid in goal, posting a 2.57 GAA and a .918 SV% over the last 10 games. Ottawa will need their top players to step up against a powerful Maple Leafs offense.

Key Players:

  • Tim Stutzle: 6 goals, 7 assists

  • Brady Tkachuk: 5 goals, 4 assists

Toronto Maple Leafs Breakdown:

Toronto comes into the playoffs red-hot with 9 wins in their last 10 games. They’ve been averaging 3.2 goals per game while allowing just 1.5 goals per game, led by stellar goaltending from Anthony Stolarz (0.99 GAA, .965 SV%). With a strong defense and elite offensive players like Auston Matthews and Mitch Marner, Toronto is a tough matchup for anyone, especially at home.

Key Players:

  • Mitch Marner: 5 goals, 8 assists

  • Auston Matthews: 4 goals, 6 assists

Betting Trends:

Ottawa Senators:

  • 6-2 SU in their last 8 games.

  • 5-0 SU in their last 5 games against Toronto.

Toronto Maple Leafs:

  • 9-1 SU in their last 10 games.

  • 7 straight home wins this season.

Exact Score Prediction:

Toronto Maple Leafs 3 – Ottawa Senators 1

Our Best Bet:

Toronto Maple Leafs ML @ -155

Toronto has been nearly unbeatable at home, and with their elite defensive play and potent offense, they should overpower Ottawa. Despite Ottawa’s strong finish to the regular season, the Maple Leafs are the superior team in this matchup and should cover the spread comfortably.

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