Sabres vs. Capitals Picks and Prediction – 3/30/2025

Buffalo Sabres (30-36-6) vs. Washington Capitals (47-16-9)
Time: 3:00 PM ET
Location: Capital One Arena, Washington, D.C.
TV: ESPN+

Previous Games:

  • Sabres: Lost 7-4 to the Philadelphia Flyers on Saturday

  • Capitals: Lost 4-2 to the Minnesota Wild on Thursday

Head-to-Head:

Washington has been dominant against Buffalo in recent matchups, covering the -1.5 line in 6 of the last 10 games. The Sabres have struggled on the road, particularly against teams of Washington's caliber.

Buffalo Sabres Breakdown:

Buffalo has been inconsistent lately, losing 7 of their last 10 games. Their offense is potent, scoring 3.03 goals per game, but they have struggled defensively, allowing 3.34 goals per game. Goaltender Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen has posted a 3.93 goals-against average, making it difficult for Buffalo to stay competitive in high-scoring matchups.

Key Players:

  • Tage Thompson: 9 points (5G, 4A) in the last 10 games

  • Ryan McLeod: 13 points (3G, 10A) in the last 10 games

Washington Capitals Breakdown:

Washington is one of the top teams in the league, boasting a high-powered offense that averages 3.6 goals per game. Despite their recent losses, they remain a dangerous opponent, with Alexander Ovechkin leading the charge. Logan Thompson has been solid in goal, with a 2.33 goals-against average and a .908 save percentage. The Capitals' defense is also strong, allowing just 2.57 goals per game.

Key Players:

  • Alexander Ovechkin: 36 goals, 11 points in the last 10 games

  • Logan Thompson: 2.31 GAA, .918 SV%

Betting Trends:

Buffalo Sabres:

  • 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games

  • 16 of their last 26 games on the road have seen them fail to cover the +1.5 line

Washington Capitals:

  • 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games at home

  • Covered the -1.5 line in 6 of their last 10 games

Exact Score Prediction:

Washington Capitals 5 – Buffalo Sabres 2

Our Best Bet:

Washington Capitals -1.5 (-110)

Given the recent form and the overall talent discrepancy, Washington should be able to cover the -1.5 line at home, especially with their offensive firepower and solid goaltending from Logan Thompson.

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