Red Wings vs. Maple Leafs Picks and Prediction – 4/17/2025

Detroit Red Wings (38-35-7) vs. Toronto Maple Leafs (51-26-4)
Time: 7:00 PM ET
Location: Scotiabank Arena, Toronto, ON
TV: ESPN+

Previous Games:

  • Red Wings: Coming off a 6-4 win over Dallas

  • Maple Leafs: Coming off a 4-0 win over Buffalo

Head-to-Head:

Toronto has dominated the recent matchups between these two teams and is on an 8-1 run overall, while Detroit has struggled with consistency. The Maple Leafs have covered the puck line in 4 of their last 6, and they’ve locked up the top seed, but still appear motivated to head into the playoffs on a strong note.

Detroit Red Wings Breakdown:

The Red Wings are trying to end their season on a high, but their goaltending and offense have been below par all season. Petr Mrazek is confirmed in net, carrying a 3.05 GAA and 12-21-2 record. Detroit is scoring just 2.84 goals per game and allowing over 3.1 goals per game, making it tough to back them against top-tier opponents—especially on the road.

Key Players:

  • Alex DeBrincat: 26 goals, 37 assists

  • Dylan Larkin: 28 goals, 30 assists

Toronto Maple Leafs Breakdown:

Toronto has been rolling, winning four in a row and dominating both ends of the ice. Joseph Woll is expected to start in net with a strong 2.72 GAA and 26-14-1 record. Offensively, the Leafs are averaging 3.25 goals per game while allowing only 2.79. They’ve looked sharp, fast, and focused, and aren’t showing signs of letting up even with playoff seeding locked.

Key Players:

  • Auston Matthews: 54 goals, 41 assists

  • Mitch Marner: 25 goals, 57 assists

Betting Trends:

Detroit Red Wings:

  • 4-2 SU in last 6 games

  • 3-6 ATS in last 9 road games

Toronto Maple Leafs:

  • 8-1 SU in last 9 games

  • 4-2 ATS in last 6 games

Exact Score Prediction:

Toronto Maple Leafs 5 – Detroit Red Wings 2

Our Best Bet:

Toronto Maple Leafs -1.5 (+115)

Toronto is simply on another level right now. They’ve been sharp on defense and dominant offensively, and with home-ice advantage and a desire to stay hot heading into the playoffs, this looks like a game they control from start to finish. Detroit’s scoring struggles and Mrazek’s inconsistency should open the door for a confident Maple Leafs win by multiple goals.

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