Penguins vs. Lightning Picks and Prediction – 3/25/2025
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Pittsburgh Penguins (29-32-11) vs. Tampa Bay Lightning (40-25-5)
Time: 7:00 PM ET
Location: Amalie Arena, Tampa, FL
TV: ESPN+
Previous Games:
- Penguins: 4-3 shootout loss to the Florida Panthers
- Lightning: 5-3 loss to the Vegas Golden Knights
Head-to-Head:
Tampa Bay has been dominant over Pittsburgh, winning 6 of the last 10 meetings. Despite recent struggles, Tampa Bay remains a far superior team, while Pittsburgh has battled inconsistency all season long, especially on the road.
Pittsburgh Penguins Breakdown:
Pittsburgh is on the brink of missing the playoffs, sitting six points out of a wild-card spot in the East. The Penguins have struggled with defensive lapses, giving up 3.3 goals per game in the last 10. They’re also not converting on the power play at a high rate (28.6%), while their penalty kill has been underperforming. Goaltender Tristan Jarry has posted a 2.47 GAA and .923 SV% in his recent stretch.
Tampa Bay Lightning Breakdown:
Tampa Bay is looking to snap a two-game losing streak, but their overall form remains strong. With a 3.47 goals per game average, they have been an offensive force. Goaltender Andrei Vasilevskiy, despite some recent lapses, holds a solid 2.23 GAA and .920 SV%. Tampa Bay’s power play remains elite at 29.7%, which could exploit Pittsburgh’s struggles.
Betting Trends:
Pittsburgh Penguins
- 5-2 in their last 7 games.
- The OVER has cashed in each of their last 5 games.
Tampa Bay Lightning
- 13-6 in their last 19 games.
- The UNDER has cashed in 10 of their last 15 on Tuesday.
Exact Score Prediction:
Tampa Bay Lightning 3 – Pittsburgh Penguins 1
Our Best Bet:
UNDER 6.5 (-130)