Panthers vs. Maple Leafs Picks and Prediction – 5/7/2025

Florida Panthers (52-24-6) vs. Toronto Maple Leafs (46-26-10)
Time: 7:00 PM ET
Location: Scotiabank Arena, Toronto, ON
TV: ESPN

Previous Games:

  • Game 1: Maple Leafs won 5-4

  • Panthers: Lost despite scoring 4 goals and dominating stretches of play

  • Maple Leafs: Riding a 2-game win streak overall

Head-to-Head:

Toronto took Game 1 in a shootout-style battle, but Florida had previously won 4 of the last 6 meetings. The Panthers showed they can break through the Leafs' defense, and with minor adjustments, they're in a strong position to even the series tonight.

Florida Panthers Breakdown:

Florida’s offense didn’t miss a beat in Game 1, firing 4 goals and putting consistent pressure on the Toronto defense. Their top line remains dangerous, and their special teams have quietly been excellent, especially the penalty kill at 89.8%. Sergei Bobrovsky will need a bounce-back performance after posting a .833 save percentage in Game 1, but his playoff pedigree gives Florida reason for optimism. Expect a more disciplined defensive structure in front of him tonight.

Key Players:

  • Carter Verhaeghe: 4 goals, 5 assists in last 10

  • Sam Reinhart: 4 goals, 5 assists in last 10

Toronto Maple Leafs Breakdown:

Toronto’s offensive form remains strong, especially from the top six. William Nylander’s clutch performance in Game 1 (2 goals, 1 assist) fueled the win. However, concerns remain in net — Ilya Samsonov and Anthony Stolarz both had shaky stretches, and defensive lapses nearly cost them the game. Florida’s offensive pressure could expose those weaknesses further in Game 2.

Key Players:

  • William Nylander: 6 goals, 7 assists in last 10

  • Mitchell Marner: 2 goals, 11 assists in last 10

Betting Trends:

Florida Panthers:

  • 6-4 record in last 10 games

  • Total has gone OVER in 7 of last 8

  • Averaging 3.3 goals per game over last 10

Toronto Maple Leafs:

  • 10-2 SU in last 12 games

  • 5-1 SU in last 6 home games

  • Game 1 went well OVER the total of 6.5

Exact Score Prediction:

Florida Panthers 5 – Toronto Maple Leafs 3

Our Best Bet:

Florida Panthers ML (-105)

Florida played well enough to win Game 1 but fell short due to goaltending lapses and defensive errors. Expect them to tighten up tonight, especially with their backs against the wall. With elite scoring depth and a strong penalty kill, the Panthers are primed to bounce back and even the series.

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