Panthers vs. Maple Leafs Picks and Prediction – 5/17/2025

Florida Panthers (52-24-6) vs. Toronto Maple Leafs (46-26-10)
Time: 7:30 PM ET
Location: Scotiabank Arena, Toronto, ON
TV: TNT, truTV, Max

Previous Games:

  • Panthers: Lost Game 6 at home 2-0, snapping a 3-game win streak

  • Maple Leafs: Won Game 6 on the road 2-0 to force Game 7

Head-to-Head:

Florida holds a 3-3 series tie with Toronto heading into this decisive Game 7. Each team has had moments of dominance in this series, but Florida won 3 straight before dropping Game 6. Toronto's win in Game 6 was their most complete performance, with a shutout and balanced offense.

Florida Panthers Breakdown:

Florida’s offense was blanked in Game 6, but over the last 10 games, they’ve still averaged 3.3 goals on 29.5 shots. Anton Lundell (9 pts) and Sam Bennett (6 goals) have carried much of the offensive load. The power play has been a weak spot at 9.6%, but their penalty kill has been elite at 94.6%.

Sergei Bobrovsky had a rough Game 6 with just a .882 SV%, but over his last 10 games he’s posted a solid 2.47 GAA with 2 shutouts.

Key Players:

  • Anton Lundell: 3 goals, 6 assists

  • Sam Bennett: 6 goals

  • Sergei Bobrovsky: .897 SV%, 2.47 GAA

Toronto Maple Leafs Breakdown:

Toronto has battled inconsistency this postseason, scoring just 11 goals in their last 5 games. Their power play is also struggling at 8.5%. But the Game 6 win, where they shut out Florida 2-0, was a major momentum shift.

Joseph Woll was excellent in net, stopping all 22 shots for the shutout. Over his last 10 games, however, he has a shaky 3.28 GAA and .893 SV%. Still, the Leafs are 15-6 SU in their last 21 games, and playing at home could help in this crucial spot.

Key Players:

  • William Nylander: 5 goals, 7 assists (last 10)

  • Mitchell Marner: 1 goal, 8 assists

  • Joseph Woll: 3.28 GAA, .893 SV%, 1 shutout

Betting Trends:

Florida Panthers:

  • 6-4 in their last 10

  • 5-3 SU in their last 8

  • OVER in 7 of their last 8

Toronto Maple Leafs:

  • 5-3-2 in their last 10

  • OVER in 5 of last 6 games

  • 4-7 SU in last 11 vs Florida

Exact Score Prediction:

Florida Panthers 3 – Toronto Maple Leafs 2

Our Best Bet:

Florida Panthers ML (-135)

Despite the shutout loss in Game 6, Florida has been the more consistent and balanced team this series. They’ve held the Leafs to 2 or fewer goals in 4 of 6 games, and their elite penalty kill gives them a huge edge in tight games like this one. With Bobrovsky likely to bounce back and Florida already winning once in Toronto this series, we like them to close it out on the road in Game 7.

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