Oilers vs. Stars Picks and Prediction – 5/23/2025

Edmonton Oilers (48-29-5) vs. Dallas Stars (50-26-6)
Time: 8:00 PM ET
Location: American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX
TV: ESPN, ESPN+

Previous Games:

  • Stars: Won Game 1, 6-3

  • Oilers: Loss ended a stretch of 4 wins in 5 games

Head-to-Head:

Dallas dominated the third period of Game 1, putting up five goals and pulling away late. They’ve now won the last two head-to-head matchups and are 14-6 in their last 20 home games. The Stars also come in with a 7-game home win streak, proving American Airlines Center is a tough place to steal a win.

Edmonton Oilers Breakdown:

Despite elite offensive production from Leon Draisaitl (106 points) and Connor McDavid (74 assists), Edmonton’s defensive concerns continue to cost them. Goalie Stuart Skinner holds a 2.81 GAA and a .896 SV%, and with backup Calvin Pickard out until May 29, the pressure is all on Skinner again.

The Oilers are allowing 27 shots per game, and their 78.2% penalty kill has been shaky—already surrendering 45 power-play goals this season. Injuries on the blue line, most notably to Mattias Ekholm, only add to the concern.

Key Players:

  • Connor McDavid: 32 goals, 74 assists

  • Leon Draisaitl: 41 goals, 65 assists

Dallas Stars Breakdown:

Dallas looked sharp in Game 1, especially in the final 20 minutes. They’re a complete team with scoring depth, featuring Jason Robertson (35 goals) and Matt Duchene (82 points), and are lethal at home with a 28-10-3 record. The Stars are averaging 3.59 goals/game in their last 10 and are extremely tough to contain when they build momentum.

Goaltender Jake Oettinger remains consistent with a 2.59 GAA and a .909 SV%, backed by a disciplined defensive core and a stronger special teams unit (82% PK, 22% PP).

Key Players:

  • Jason Robertson: 35 goals, 47 assists

  • Matt Duchene: 25 goals, 57 assists

Betting Trends:

Edmonton Oilers:

  • 8-2 in last 10 games overall

  • Under is 14-5 in their last 19 road games

Dallas Stars:

  • 4-1 in last 5 games

  • 7-game home win streak

  • Under is 5-2 in their last 7 games

Exact Score Prediction:

Dallas Stars 4 – Edmonton Oilers 3

Our Best Bet:

Dallas Stars ML (-120)

Dallas has all the momentum after a dominant third period in Game 1 and enters Game 2 with superior depth, better goaltending, and a flawless home stretch. Edmonton’s injuries on defense and their inconsistent special teams are major liabilities. The Stars are simply deeper and more structured right now, and home ice gives them another edge.

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