Oilers vs. Panthers Picks and Prediction – 6/12/2025

Edmonton Oilers (48-29-5) vs. Florida Panthers (47-31-4)
Time: 8:00 PM ET
Location: Amerant Bank Arena, Sunrise, FL
TV: TNT, truTV, Max

Previous Games:

  • Panthers: Dominated Game 3 with a 6-1 home win

  • Oilers: Back-to-back losses in Games 2 and 3

Head-to-Head:

Florida now leads the series 2-1 and has won the last two matchups in convincing fashion. Game 3 was a total dismantling, and the Panthers’ defense continues to smother Edmonton’s top weapons. Florida has covered in both wins and is now 2-0 at home in this series.

Edmonton Oilers Breakdown:

Edmonton’s offense looks broken. After averaging nearly 4 goals per game in earlier rounds, they’ve managed just 3 goals across their last 2 games. Without Zach Hyman, the forward depth is showing cracks. Connor McDavid and Leon Draisaitl are being blanketed, and Stuart Skinner is struggling with a .894 SV% in the series. The Oilers have now allowed 10 goals in their last 2 games and are losing the physical battle. Their penalty kill (78.2%) is below average and their defensive zone structure is breaking down under pressure.

Key Players:

  • Connor McDavid: 31 playoff points

  • Leon Draisaitl: 29 playoff points

  • Stuart Skinner: 2.84 GAA, .894 SV%

Florida Panthers Breakdown:

Florida has figured out Edmonton’s attack and is executing on all levels. They’re getting scoring from every line—Sam Bennett, Evan Rodrigues, and Matthew Tkachuk are all making huge impacts. Sergei Bobrovsky is anchoring a defense allowing just 2.4 goals per game this postseason, with a stellar 2.16 GAA and .916 SV%. The Panthers’ ability to stay disciplined (lowest penalty minutes among playoff teams) and win the physical battle is giving them control of the series.

Key Players:

  • Sam Bennett: 14 goals, 20 points

  • Evan Rodrigues: 12 points last 10 games

  • Sergei Bobrovsky: 1.86 GAA, .930 SV% last 10 games

Betting Trends:

Edmonton Oilers:

  • 0-2 in last 2 games

  • Over has hit in 5 of last 6

  • 3.5 goals per game last 10, but struggling now

Florida Panthers:

  • 7-2 in last 9 games

  • 15-5 in last 20 home games

  • Over has hit in 5 of last 6

Exact Score Prediction:

Florida Panthers 4 – Edmonton Oilers 2

Our Best Bet:

Florida Panthers ML (-150)

The Panthers are deeper, healthier, and more disciplined. Their defense and goaltending are miles ahead of Edmonton’s, and Bobrovsky continues to outplay Skinner. With Hyman still out and Edmonton’s stars being neutralized, Florida is the better play on home ice. Back them to take a commanding 3-1 series lead.

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