Oilers vs. Golden Knights Picks and Prediction – 5/6/2025

Edmonton Oilers (48-29-5) vs. Vegas Golden Knights (52-26-4)
Time: 9:30 PM ET
Location: T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, NV
TV: ESPN

Previous Games:

  • Oilers: Closed out Los Angeles in 6 games, winning last 4

  • Golden Knights: Eliminated Minnesota in 5 games

Head-to-Head:

These two split the regular season 2-2, but Edmonton has won the last two meetings overall. Vegas will host Game 1 with a 29-9-3 home record and enters the series healthy and rested.

Edmonton Oilers Breakdown:

The Oilers offense is firing on all cylinders, averaging 5.0 goals per game over their last 4. Leon Draisaitl continues to produce elite numbers, and Connor McDavid leads all skaters in assists during the playoffs. However, the absence of top-pair defenseman Mattias Ekholm is a major concern heading into a series against a balanced Vegas team.

Defensively, goaltending is shaky at best. Stuart Skinner and Calvin Pickard have both been inconsistent, with sub-.900 save percentages. Edmonton allows 3.2 goals per game over their last 10 and is below average on the penalty kill at just 73.2%.

Key Players:

  • Leon Draisaitl: 106 pts (52 G, 54 A)

  • Connor McDavid: 18 points in last 10 games

  • Evan Bouchard: 10 points, 5 goals in last 10 games

Vegas Golden Knights Breakdown:

Vegas plays with structure and depth, especially at home. Jack Eichel and Pavel Dorofeyev anchor a top-six that blends scoring and two-way play. Tomas Hertl leads the team in postseason points, and Adin Hill has been the more consistent goalie in this matchup.

The Golden Knights allow just 2.61 goals per game, rank higher on the power play at 28.3%, and take far fewer penalties. They also control puck possession well, averaging more shots on goal than they allow.

Key Players:

  • Jack Eichel: 94 pts, 66 assists

  • Tomas Hertl: 7 points in last 10 games

  • Adin Hill: 2.47 GAA, .906 SV%

Betting Trends:

Edmonton Oilers:

  • 4-1 in their last 5 games

  • OVER has hit in 5 of their last 6

  • 2-0 in last 2 vs. Vegas

Vegas Golden Knights:

  • 5-2 in last 7 games

  • 6-1 in last 7 home playoff openers

  • OVER is 6-3 in last 9 games

Exact Score Prediction:

Vegas Golden Knights 4 – Edmonton Oilers 3

Our Best Bet:

Vegas Golden Knights ML (-135)

Vegas has the advantage in net, defensive consistency, and home-ice dominance. Edmonton’s scoring is dangerous, but the Oilers' goaltending and discipline are glaring issues heading into a hostile building. With a healthier roster and playoff experience, Vegas should strike first in the series opener.

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