Maple Leafs vs. Panthers Picks and Prediction – 5/9/2025

Toronto Maple Leafs (52-24-6) vs. Florida Panthers (52-24-6)
Time: 7:00 PM ET
Location: Amerant Bank Arena, Sunrise, FL
TV: TNT, truTV, Max

Series Update:

  • Series: East 2nd Round – Game 3

  • Current Series: Toronto leads 2-0

Previous Games:

  • Game 1: Maple Leafs 5, Panthers 2

  • Game 2: Maple Leafs 4, Panthers 3

  • Toronto is riding a 3-game winning streak

  • Panthers have allowed 9 goals in two games despite being at home in Game 3

Head-to-Head:

Despite Florida’s strong home record this season, Toronto has dominated the opening two games offensively. The Leafs have outscored Florida 9-5 so far, taking a surprising 2-0 series lead and flipping the home-ice advantage.

Toronto Maple Leafs Breakdown:

Toronto's offense has been electric, averaging 3.6 goals over their last 10 games while holding opponents to just 2.6 goals per game. The power play has been clicking at 15.9%, and the penalty kill is rock-solid at 84.2%.

William Nylander and Mitch Marner are tied for the playoff lead with 13 points each, while Auston Matthews has added 8 points of his own.

Goalie Anthony Stolarz has been superb, posting a 1.91 GAA and .919 SV%, stabilizing Toronto’s back end.

Florida Panthers Breakdown:

The Panthers have struggled defensively in this series, allowing an average of 4.5 goals per game through Games 1 and 2. Although they’ve been strong at home historically — winning 16 of their last 20 at Amerant Bank Arena — their penalty trouble (5.1 penalties per game) and poor goaltending (Bobrovsky has a 3.16 GAA, .866 SV%) have hurt them.

Anton Lundell and Eetu Luostarinen have stepped up, each posting 8 points through 7 playoff games, but the team’s defensive discipline needs to improve.

Betting Trends:

Toronto Maple Leafs:

  • 11-2 in their last 13 games overall

  • 5-1 in their last 6 road games

  • The OVER has hit in 4 of their last 5 games

Florida Panthers:

  • The OVER has hit in 5 straight games

  • 17-6 at home in their last 23

  • Under is 12 of last 17 vs. Toronto — but this trend is being challenged in this series

Exact Score Prediction:

Florida Panthers 5 – Toronto Maple Leafs 3

Our Best Bet:

Over 5.5 Goals (-110)

Both teams are built to score and are showing it through the first two games. With Florida needing a bounce-back and Toronto continuing their red-hot offense, expect Game 3 to be another high-scoring affair. Florida should respond at home, but the Leafs won’t go quietly.

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