Jets vs. Stars Picks and Prediction – 5/17/2025

Winnipeg Jets (52-24-6) vs. Dallas Stars (52-21-9)
Time: 8:00 PM ET
Location: American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX
TV: ABC, ESPN+

Previous Games:

  • Jets: 4-0 win in Game 5 to stay alive

  • Stars: Shut out in Game 5 after winning 3 of the first 4 games

Head-to-Head:

Dallas leads the series 3-2 and has dominated at home, winning both games at American Airlines Center so far. Winnipeg’s shutout win in Game 5 was impressive, but they have yet to prove they can win in Dallas this series.

Winnipeg Jets Breakdown:

The Jets have been inconsistent in this series, relying heavily on elite goaltending from Connor Hellebuyck, who now has 2 shutouts in the series. Winnipeg still owns one of the best defensive cores in hockey and ranks 1st in goals allowed per game (2.32). Their offense, however, has struggled to find consistency away from home, scoring just 1 goal combined in Games 1 and 2 in Dallas.

Key Players:

  • Kyle Connor: 41 goals, 97 points this season

  • Connor Hellebuyck: 2.01 GAA, .925 SV%, 2 shutouts in this series

Dallas Stars Breakdown:

Dallas returns home where they’ve won 5 straight, including both matchups this series. Jake Oettinger is far more reliable at home and the Stars' depth scoring from Duchene, Pavelski, and Robertson has been strong in Dallas. The Stars’ top-six forecheck has been effective in keeping Winnipeg pinned in their zone, especially when they strike early. Expect a bounce-back effort from a veteran group playing to avoid a Game 7 on the road.

Key Players:

  • Jason Robertson: 80 points

  • Matt Duchene: 27 goals, 55 assists

  • Jake Oettinger: 2.59 GAA, .909 SV%

Betting Trends:

Winnipeg Jets:

  • 0-5 in their last 5 road games

  • 2-6 in their last 8 vs. Dallas

  • Under has hit in 4 of last 6 games

Dallas Stars:

  • 5-0 in last 5 home games

  • 10-3 in last 13 vs. Winnipeg at home

  • 7-2 in their last 9 games when scoring first

Exact Score Prediction:

Dallas Stars 3 – Winnipeg Jets 2

Our Best Bet:

Dallas Stars ML (-150)

Despite Winnipeg’s dominant Game 5, they haven’t shown they can get it done in Dallas. The Stars are 5-0 at home and will come out with urgency to close the series on their own ice. Oettinger has been much better in front of the home crowd, and the offensive depth should be enough to outlast Winnipeg in a tight, low-scoring battle. Taking Dallas on the moneyline is the safest and smartest play for Game 6.

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