Jets vs. Stars Picks and Prediction – 5/13/2025

Winnipeg Jets (52-24-6) vs. Dallas Stars (52-21-9)
Time: 8:00 PM ET
Location: American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX
TV: ESPN

Previous Games:

  • Stars: Won Game 3, 5-2

  • Jets: Lost 2 of last 3 in the series

Head-to-Head:

Dallas has won 2 of the first 3 games in this series, including a convincing 5-2 win at home in Game 3. Winnipeg took Game 2 on the road but now faces a must-win situation to avoid going down 3-1. The Stars have won 3 of the last 4 head-to-head meetings.

Winnipeg Jets Breakdown:

The Jets were one of the league’s stingiest defensive teams in the regular season, allowing just 2.32 goals per game, second-best in the NHL. But postseason play has exposed some cracks—Connor Hellebuyck has posted a 3.51 GAA and .848 SV% over his last 10 games, including a rough outing in Game 3. Winnipeg’s offense continues to run through Kyle Connor, who leads the team in goals and points, but the power play has cooled off dramatically, converting just 10.7% of chances over their last 10.

Key Players:

  • Kyle Connor: 13 points (5G, 8A) in last 10 games

  • Mark Scheifele: 8 points (3G, 5A) in last 10 games

Dallas Stars Breakdown:

Dallas has looked sharp both offensively and defensively throughout the postseason. They’ve won 4 straight home games and 14 of their last 20 at home overall. Goalie Jake Oettinger has been steady, posting a 2.71 GAA and .911 SV% in his last 10 starts. Offensively, Dallas is also averaging 2.9 goals per game recently and has benefited from key performances by Matt Duchene and Roope Hintz. Their special teams are surging, especially on the penalty kill, which is operating at 90.7%.

Key Players:

  • Matt Duchene: 82 points on the season

  • Roope Hintz: 10 points (5G, 5A) in last 10 games

Betting Trends:

Winnipeg Jets:

  • Lost 4 straight road games

  • 5-5 in last 10 overall

  • Power play just 10.7% in last 10 games

Dallas Stars:

  • Won 4 straight at home

  • 6-4 in last 10 overall

  • Penalty kill 90.7% in last 10 games

Exact Score Prediction:

Dallas Stars 4 – Winnipeg Jets 2

Our Best Bet:

Dallas Stars ML (-140)

Dallas is simply the better all-around team right now and is capitalizing on Winnipeg’s shaky road form and declining goaltending. The Stars have been dominant at home and are firing on all cylinders, especially on special teams. With Hellebuyck looking vulnerable and the Jets struggling to finish on the power play, we’re backing Dallas to win.

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