Islanders vs. Flyers Picks and Prediction – 4/12/2025

New York Islanders (34-33-11) vs. Philadelphia Flyers (32-37-9)
Time: 12:30 PM ET
Location: Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia, PA
TV: ESPN+

Previous Games:

  • Flyers: Coming off a huge 8-5 win over the Rangers

  • Islanders: Just got crushed 9-2 by the Rangers

Head-to-Head:

Despite New York’s struggles, they’ve historically dominated this matchup, winning 15 of the last 19 against the Flyers. However, the current momentum tells a different story.

New York Islanders Breakdown:

It’s been a brutal stretch for the Islanders, dropping 8 of their last 10 games and giving up 4.5 goals per game during that span. Their penalty kill is average at 78.3%, and goalie Ilya Sorokin has struggled recently, posting a 3.13 GAA and a .886 SV% in his last 10. Their offense has been alright with 3.1 goals per game, but defensive lapses have cost them.

Key Players:

  • Simon Holmström: 3 goals, 5 assists

  • Bo Horvat: 3 goals, 4 assists

Philadelphia Flyers Breakdown:

The Flyers are trending upward with 4 wins in their last 5 games, and they’re scoring 3.5 goals per game over their last 10. Defense is still a concern, giving up 3.9 goals per game, but they’ve shown life offensively. Goalie Samuel Ersson hasn’t been great lately, sporting a 3.96 GAA and a .842 SV%, but home ice could be an edge today.

Key Players:

  • Ryan Poehling: 7 goals, 5 assists

  • Matvei Michkov: 4 goals, 8 assists

Betting Trends:

New York Islanders:

  • 2-8 in their last 10 games

  • 10 of last 13 games have gone OVER

  • 15-4 in their last 19 vs. Flyers

Philadelphia Flyers:

  • 4-1 in their last 5 games

  • 5 of last 7 games have gone OVER

  • 7 of last 9 games vs. Islanders have gone UNDER

Exact Score Prediction:

Philadelphia Flyers 5 – New York Islanders 3

Our Best Bet:

Over 5.5 (-110)

Both teams have been leaking goals and scoring at a decent clip, especially recently. The Flyers are playing with confidence, and the Islanders are desperate to bounce back — usually a recipe for a high-scoring affair. With recent trends and goaltender form considered, the over is the safest and most logical play for this early matinee.

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