Golden Knights vs. Oilers Picks and Prediction – 5/10/2025

Vegas Golden Knights (45-29-8) vs. Edmonton Oilers (49-27-6)
Time: 9:00 PM ET
Location: Rogers Place, Edmonton, AB
TV: TNT, truTV, Max

Previous Games:

  • Golden Knights: Lost Game 1 (4-2) and Game 2 (5-4 OT) at home

  • Oilers: Riding a 6-game winning streak

Head-to-Head:

Edmonton has won the last four meetings against Vegas, including back-to-back wins to open this second-round series. The Oilers return home where they’ve gone 25-13-3 this season, while Vegas faces a must-win on the road.

Vegas Golden Knights Breakdown:

Despite two tough losses to start the series, Vegas has shown offensive depth. They’re averaging 3.34 goals per game in the postseason with a 28.3% power play, but have struggled defensively, allowing 9 goals through the first two games. Goalie Adin Hill has posted a 2.47 GAA and a .906 SV%, although he’s looked shaky recently with a 3.16 GAA and .874 SV% in his last 10.

Key Players:

  • Jack Eichel: 10 points (2G, 8A) in last 10

  • Mark Stone: 4 goals, 4 assists in last 10

Edmonton Oilers Breakdown:

The Oilers are surging, led by Leon Draisaitl (13 points in last 10) and Connor McDavid (15 points, 13 assists in last 10). Edmonton’s offense is firing with 3.9 goals per game in their last 10, although defensive lapses have led to 3.5 goals allowed per game. Goaltender Calvin Pickard holds a 3.12 GAA with a .883 SV%, so this game could become a shootout.

Key Players:

  • Leon Draisaitl: 5 goals, 8 assists

  • Connor McDavid: 2 goals, 13 assists

Betting Trends:

Vegas Golden Knights:

  • 1-4 in last 5 vs. Edmonton

  • Under has hit in 5 of their last 6 vs. Pacific Division opponents

  • 13 losses in last 25 road games

Edmonton Oilers:

  • 6 straight wins

  • Over has hit in 6 of last 8 games

  • 4 straight wins vs. Vegas

Exact Score Prediction:

Edmonton Oilers 5 – Vegas Golden Knights 3

Our Best Bet:

Over 6.5 Total Goals (-110)

Both teams are scoring at a high rate and struggling to keep the puck out of their net. With shaky goaltending on both sides and elite offensive firepower, this game has strong potential to fly over the total. Edmonton’s recent scoring trends, combined with Vegas’ urgency, point toward a wide-open, high-scoring affair.

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