Flyers vs. Senators Picks and Prediction – 4/13/2025

Philadelphia Flyers (32-37-9) vs. Ottawa Senators (43-30-6)
Time: 1:00 PM ET
Location: Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa, ON
TV: ESPN+

Previous Games:

  • Flyers: Coming off an 8-5 win vs. Rangers on Wednesday, with a game Saturday night vs. Islanders

  • Senators: Defeated Montreal 5-2 on Friday

Head-to-Head:

Ottawa has dominated this matchup recently, winning 7 of the last 10 meetings. Philadelphia enters the game on the second night of a back-to-back, while the Senators are rested and still pushing for seeding with playoff implications on the line.

Philadelphia Flyers Breakdown:

Although the Flyers have been playing hard late in the season, they’ve already been eliminated from playoff contention. Their recent offensive surge (scoring 3.8 goals per game over the last 10) has been offset by poor defense and goaltending. Samuel Ersson has been struggling, allowing 3.77 goals per game over his last 10 starts with a save percentage of just .860. The penalty kill has been a strength, but their power play ranks near the bottom of the league. Playing on zero rest is likely to magnify their defensive issues.

Key Players:

  • Travis Konecny: 24 goals, 51 assists

  • Ryan Poehling: 7 goals, 6 assists in last 10 games

Ottawa Senators Breakdown:

The Senators are playing solid, playoff-caliber hockey. They’ve won 6 of their last 10 and are a dominant 8-2 in their last 10 at home. Their defense has locked in recently, allowing just 2.2 goals per game, and Linus Ullmark has been rock-solid with a .929 save percentage and a 2.02 GAA in his last 10. While their power play hasn’t been sharp lately, their overall discipline and structure gives them a big edge, especially against a tired Flyers squad.

Key Players:

  • Brady Tkachuk: 29 goals

  • Tim Stützle: 51 assists, 72 points

Betting Trends:

Philadelphia Flyers:

  • 4-1 in their last 5 overall

  • 1-4 in their last 5 road games

  • OVER has hit in 5 of last 7

Ottawa Senators:

  • 4-game home win streak

  • 5 of last 7 have gone UNDER

  • 7-3 vs. Flyers in last 10

Exact Score Prediction:

Ottawa Senators 3 – Philadelphia Flyers 1

Our Best Bet:

Under 5.5 (-110)

This matchup has all the ingredients for a low-scoring game. The Flyers are on tired legs and have struggled offensively on the road, while Ottawa has tightened up defensively with Ullmark in net. The Senators have hit the UNDER in 5 of their last 7 and are playing a structured style ahead of the playoffs. Expect a focused defensive effort from Ottawa and limited chances for Philly.

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