Capitals vs. Hurricanes Picks and Prediction – 5/12/2025

Washington Capitals (40-31-11) vs. Carolina Hurricanes (52-23-7)
Time: 7:00 PM ET
Location: PNC Arena, Raleigh, NC
TV: TNT / truTV / Max

Previous Games:

  • Hurricanes: Won 4 of their last 5 games, including a 3-0 shutout win in Game 3

  • Capitals: Lost 2 of last 3 games; offense struggling with just 4 total goals over that stretch

Head-to-Head:

Carolina leads the series 2-1 and has won 6 of their last 10 against Washington. They've dominated at home recently, winning 4 straight at PNC Arena and 20 of their last 25 overall in Raleigh. Washington's last road win in Carolina was early in the regular season.

Washington Capitals Breakdown:

Washington entered the postseason as a wild card and has played with grit, but the lack of offense has been evident. The team has averaged only 1.33 goals per game over the last three.

Key Players:

  • Dylan Strome: 10 points (8 assists)

  • Tom Wilson: 7 points

  • Connor McMichael: 4 goals

The Caps have struggled to generate quality scoring chances and have relied too heavily on special teams to stay competitive. They’re also allowing more high-danger chances than they can handle against a deep Hurricanes lineup.

Carolina Hurricanes Breakdown:

The Canes have been dominant at home and are peaking at the right time. Their defense has clamped down, allowing just 2.0 goals per game over the last five contests. Frederik Andersen was lights out in Game 3, stopping all 21 shots for a shutout.

Key Players:

  • Jack Roslovic: 1 goal, 1 assist in Game 3

  • Sebastian Aho & Seth Jarvis: Driving possession and creating chances

  • Brady Skjei: Big minutes on the blue line, contributing on both ends

Carolina’s depth has made the difference, with four different players scoring in Game 3. Their forecheck has overwhelmed Washington’s defense, limiting offensive zone time for the Caps.

Betting Trends:

Washington Capitals:

  • UNDER has hit in 4 of last 5 games

  • 2-6 SU in last 8 road games

  • 5-10 SU in last 15 vs. Carolina

Carolina Hurricanes:

  • UNDER has hit in 6 of last 8

  • 4-1 SU in last 5 overall

  • 20-5 in last 25 home games

Exact Score Prediction:

Carolina Hurricanes 4 – Washington Capitals 3

Our Best Bet:

Carolina Hurricanes ML (-250)

Carolina has been the stronger team in nearly every facet—deeper lineup, better goaltending, home dominance, and recent form. Washington is struggling to score and has shown no answers for Carolina's speed and structure. With Andersen in top form and the Canes pushing to take a 3-1 series lead at home, expect them to win convincingly and cover the puck line.

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