Capitals vs. Hurricanes Picks and Prediction – 5/10/2025

Washington Capitals (40-33-9) vs. Carolina Hurricanes (52-22-8)
Time: 6:00 PM ET
Location: PNC Arena, Raleigh, NC
TV: TNT, truTV, Max

Previous Games:

  • Capitals: Won 3 of their last 4, including a 3-1 win in Game 2

  • Hurricanes: Lost Game 2 after winning 3 of previous 5

Head-to-Head:

This series is tied 1-1 as it shifts to Raleigh. Carolina stole Game 1 in D.C., but Washington responded with a disciplined Game 2 win. The Hurricanes are 20-5 in their last 25 home games, while the Capitals have dropped 7 of their last 10 road matchups.

Washington Capitals Breakdown:

Washington is heating up, having won 5 of their last 7 games. Offensively, they’ve averaged 3.49 goals per game this season and are generating chances efficiently, though their shot volume remains low at just 27.6 per game. Defensively, they’ve been stout, allowing 2.79 goals per game, and they’ve conceded only 4 goals in their last 3 wins.

Logan Thompson has stepped up in net with a .931 SV% and 2.01 GAA in his last 10 appearances. Tom Wilson and Dylan Strome continue to lead the way up front, with Strome tallying 15 points (5 G, 10 A) in his last 10.

Carolina Hurricanes Breakdown:

Carolina’s metrics remain strong: they’re averaging 3.24 goals per game on 31.7 shots, while allowing just 2.81 goals against. However, Frederik Andersen struggled in Game 2, surrendering 2 goals on 20 shots before the Caps iced the game with an empty-netter.

The Canes’ special teams are a major edge: 25.0% power play and 89.7% penalty kill over the last 10 games. Sebastian Aho and Andrei Svechnikov have combined for 18 points over that stretch, but scoring depth will need to show up tonight.

Betting Trends:

Washington Capitals:

  • 5-2 SU in last 7 games

  • Total has gone UNDER in 5 of last 7 games

  • Lost 7 of last 10 on the road

Carolina Hurricanes:

  • 20-5 in last 25 home games

  • Won 8 of last 10 at home

  • Total has gone UNDER in 5 of last 7 games

Exact Score Prediction:

Carolina Hurricanes 3 – Washington Capitals 2

Our Best Bet:

Carolina Hurricanes ML (-200)

Carolina is a home juggernaut and has the depth, special teams, and shot volume to wear down a Capitals team that's been outshot in nearly every game. Washington has played well defensively, but Carolina’s pace and puck possession should tilt this in their favor. Take the Hurricanes on the moneyline to regain control of the series on home ice.

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