Capitals vs. Canadiens Picks and Prediction – 4/27/2025

Washington Capitals (45-30-7) vs. Montreal Canadiens (41-34-7)
Time: 6:30 PM ET
Location: Bell Centre, Montreal, QC
TV: TBS, truTV, Max

Previous Games:

  • Capitals: Up 2-1 in the series, lost 5-2 in Game 3

  • Canadiens: Won 5-2 in Game 3, breaking Washington’s two-game series win streak

Head-to-Head:

Washington has had the upper hand this season, but Montreal’s performance in Game 3 shows they are capable of stepping up. With the Capitals struggling on the road, Montreal is poised to fight for an even series at home.

Washington Capitals Breakdown:

Despite their loss in Game 3, Washington has a much stronger roster, led by Alex Ovechkin and Dylan Strome, two of the top performers in the postseason. The Capitals’ offense has been potent, averaging nearly 3.5 goals per game, but their goaltending remains a concern, with Logan Thompson struggling mightily in Game 3. The Capitals will need a better performance from their netminders to take control of this game. Their road struggles (1-5 SU in their last 6) also can’t be ignored, making this a tough matchup for them.

Key Players:

  • Alex Ovechkin: 4 goals, 4 assists

  • Dylan Strome: 5 points, 2 goals, 3 assists

Montreal Canadiens Breakdown:

Montreal’s Game 3 win gives them momentum, with contributions from players like Nick Suzuki, Cole Caufield, and Christian Dvorak. The Canadiens' goaltending, though inconsistent, has been enough for them to hold on in close games. Their solid defense and penalty killing (90%) have been their strong suits. Montreal will look to capitalize on Washington's road woes and keep the pressure on as they try to even the series.

Key Players:

  • Nick Suzuki: 6 goals, 4 assists

  • Cole Caufield: 4 goals, 4 assists

Betting Trends:

Washington Capitals:

  • 5-2 SU in their last 7 games against Montreal.

  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of their last 6 games.

  • 1-5 SU in their last 6 road games.

Montreal Canadiens:

  • 4-1 SU in their last 5 home games.

  • The total has gone UNDER in 8 of their last 12 games.

  • 2 consecutive home wins.

Exact Score Prediction:

Washington Capitals 3 – Montreal Canadiens 1

Our Best Bet:

Washington Capitals ML(-115)

Washington will look to reclaim control of the series with a strong road performance. Despite their struggles, the Capitals’ talent should shine through, and they’ll be able to stifle Montreal’s offense. Expect a bounce-back win for Washington in Game 4.

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