Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs Picks and Prediction – 4/12/2025

Montreal Canadiens (39-30-9) vs. Toronto Maple Leafs (48-26-4)
Time: 7:00 PM ET
Location: Scotiabank Arena, Toronto, ON
TV: ESPN+

Previous Games:

  • Maple Leafs: Coming off a 5-2 win vs. Detroit

  • Canadiens: Beat Florida 4-3 in OT

Head-to-Head:

Toronto leads the season series 2–1, including a 7–3 blowout win in the last matchup. The Maple Leafs have won their last 5 games at home, while Montreal has dropped 7 of their last 10 on the road. Toronto's depth and home-ice dominance have been key in recent meetings.

Montreal Canadiens Breakdown:

Montreal enters this game red-hot with a 6-game win streak, but they’ve struggled away from home all season. They average 3.00 goals per game, while giving up 3.21, and their power play has cooled off recently, converting at just 6.1% over the last 10 games. Nick Suzuki leads the team with 86 points, while Sam Montembeault has a 2.81 GAA and .902 SV% on the season.

Key Players:

  • Nick Suzuki: 8 goals, 7 assists in last 10

  • Cole Caufield: 37 goals on the season

Toronto Maple Leafs Breakdown:

The Leafs have been rolling, winning 7 of their last 10 games, with a 25-13-1 record at home. Offensively, they’ve been clicking with 3.7 goals per game over their last 10, led by John Tavares (15 points, 10 goals) and Mitch Marner (14 points). In net, Anthony Stolarz has been a wall with a 1.82 GAA and a .936 SV%.

Key Players:

  • John Tavares: 10 goals, 5 assists in last 10

  • Mitch Marner: 4 goals, 10 assists in last 10

Betting Trends:

Montreal Canadiens:

  • 6–3–1 in last 10 games

  • 17–18–4 on the road

  • Lost 2 straight games to Toronto

Toronto Maple Leafs:

  • 7–2–1 in last 10 games

  • 5 straight home wins

  • 25–13–1 at home this season

Exact Score Prediction:

Toronto Maple Leafs 4 – Montreal Canadiens 2

Our Best Bet:

Toronto Maple Leafs 3-Way Moneyline(+115)

Toronto’s home dominance and offensive depth make them the stronger side here, especially with Montreal's road inconsistencies. The Leafs have won 5 straight at home and have already handled Montreal comfortably once this season. With Anthony Stolarz playing lights out in net and Montreal’s power play struggling, we expect the Leafs to pull away late and cover the puck line.

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