Canadiens vs. Capitals Picks and Prediction – 4/30/2025

Montreal Canadiens vs. Washington Capitals 
Time: 7:00 PM ET
Location: Capital One Arena, Washington, D.C.
TV: ESPN

Series Recap:

  • Game 1: Capitals 3, Canadiens 2 (OT)

  • Game 2: Capitals 3, Canadiens 1

  • Game 3: Canadiens 6, Capitals 3

  • Game 4: Capitals 5, Canadiens 2
    Series: Washington leads 3-1

Head-to-Head Overview:

The Capitals have dominated the series, winning three of four and averaging 3.5 goals per game in their victories. Montreal managed one explosive outing in Game 3 but has otherwise looked overmatched in terms of puck control and goaltending stability.

Montreal Canadiens Breakdown:

Montreal is facing elimination and enters this game on its heels. Lane Hutson has provided key playmaking with 5 assists, and Cole Caufield leads the team with 3 goals, but overall offensive production has been spotty. With Sam Montembeault listed day-to-day, it’s likely Jakub Dobes gets the start. Dobes lacks postseason experience and will be under heavy pressure against Washington’s deep forward group.

Key Players:

  • Lane Hutson: 5 assists

  • Cole Caufield: 3 goals

  • Nick Suzuki: 2 goals, 2 assists

Washington Capitals Breakdown:

Washington is clicking at the right time. Dylan Strome leads the charge with 7 points, while Anthony Beauvillier and Connor McMichael have made big contributions on the second and third lines. Logan Thompson returned in Game 4 and turned in a strong performance with 16 saves. Washington’s forecheck has overwhelmed Montreal's defense, and their home-ice advantage has been a serious factor.

Key Players:

  • Dylan Strome: 2 goals, 5 assists

  • Anthony Beauvillier: 1 goal, 4 assists

  • Connor McMichael: 3 goals, 1 assist

Betting Trends:

Montreal Canadiens:

  • 2-6 SU in their last 8 games

  • 2-9 SU in their last 11 road games

  • 2-6 SU in their last 8 games vs. Washington

Washington Capitals:

  • 4-2 SU in their last 6 games

  • 8-2 SU in their last 10 home games

  • Total has gone OVER in 10 of their last 15

Exact Score Prediction:

Washington Capitals 4 – Montreal Canadiens 2

Our Best Bet:

Washington Capitals 3-Way ML (-110)
Washington has been dominant at home, and with Montreal likely turning to a rookie goalie in an elimination game, the edge is too strong to ignore. The Capitals’ offense has been consistent and multi-dimensional, and their recent form makes them a strong candidate to close this series with a convincing win.

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