Blues vs. Jets Picks and Prediction – 5/4/2025

St. Louis Blues (44-30-8) vs. Winnipeg Jets (56-22-4)
Time: 7:00 PM ET
Location: Canada Life Centre, Winnipeg, MB
TV: TBS / Max

Previous Games:

  • Blues: Won Game 6, 5–2 at home

  • Jets: Lost 3 of last 4 games in series

Head-to-Head:

This series has gone back and forth, with the Blues taking three of the last four behind explosive offensive performances. However, the Jets are back home, where they’ve dominated all year. Winnipeg is 30-7-4 at home this season and 8-1 in their last nine at Canada Life Centre against all opponents.

St. Louis Blues Breakdown:

St. Louis is surging at the right time. They’ve scored five or more goals in four of their last five games, with key contributions from Robert Thomas (81 pts) and Jordan Kyrou (36 goals). The Blues are averaging 3.05 goals per game while allowing 2.82, with a solid power play at 22.1%.

Defensively, Jordan Binnington and Joel Hofer have split duties, both with respectable numbers. Binnington owns a 2.69 GAA and .900 SV%, while Hofer has a slight edge at 2.65 GAA and .904 SV%. The penalty kill has improved recently, now killing 90% over their last 10 games.

Key Players:

  • Robert Thomas: 2 G, 12 A in last 10

  • Pavel Buchnevich: 6 G, 8 A in last 10

Winnipeg Jets Breakdown:

The Jets have struggled defensively this series despite Connor Hellebuyck’s stellar regular season. In the last 10 games, his numbers have dipped to a 3.37 GAA and .868 SV%. Winnipeg still holds a strong power play (28.9%) and better overall defense (2.32 GAA on the season).

Offensively, they rely heavily on Kyle Connor (97 points), who has kept producing with 7 goals in his last 10. The likely absence of Mark Scheifele (3 G, 6 A in last 10) could limit their secondary scoring and shift even more pressure onto their first line.

Key Players:

  • Kyle Connor: 7 G, 7 A in last 10

  • Nikolaj Ehlers: 4 G, 4 A in last 10

Betting Trends:

St. Louis Blues:

  • 14-6 in last 20 games overall

  • Over is 8-1 in last 9 games

  • Lost 6 straight road games

Winnipeg Jets:

  • 8-1 in last 9 home games

  • Over is 5-1 in last 6 games

  • 6-4 vs. Blues in last 10 head-to-head

Exact Score Prediction:

St. Louis Blues 4 – Winnipeg Jets 3 (OT)

Our Best Bet:

Over 5.5 Goals (-110)

Game 7 intensity usually means tighter defense, but this series has been anything but low-scoring. The Blues have scored five or more in four of the last five games, while the Jets still generate over 28 shots per game and boast one of the best power plays in hockey. With both teams trending toward the over, and goaltending showing signs of fatigue, expect another high-scoring battle that pushes past the 5.5 total.

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