Avalanche vs. Stars Picks and Prediction – 4/28/2025

Colorado Avalanche (49-29-4) vs. Dallas Stars (50-26-6)
Time: 9:30 PM ET
Location: American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX
TV: ESPN

Previous Games:

  • Colorado: Dominated Game 4 with a 4-0 shutout win

  • Dallas: Shut out 4-0 in Game 4, needs a bounce-back performance

Head-to-Head:

The series is tied 2-2 after Colorado's convincing win in Game 4. With Dallas struggling in their last few games and Colorado finding their rhythm, the Avalanche appear to have the upper hand.

Colorado Avalanche Breakdown:

The Avalanche have been strong, especially in their recent 4-0 shutout. Averaging 3.33 goals per game, they’re one of the top offensive teams in the league. Nathan MacKinnon continues to lead the charge, having posted 116 points this season. Their defense has also been solid, allowing just 2.82 goals per game. Mackenzie Blackwood has been reliable in net, and their 24.8% power play is a significant weapon that could cause problems for Dallas, especially with their injuries.

Key Players:

  • Nathan MacKinnon: 32 goals, 84 assists

  • Mackenzie Blackwood: 2.55 GAA, .912 SV%

Dallas Stars Breakdown:

Dallas has been a strong team all season, but they’re facing challenges in this series. Without Jason Robertson and Miro Heiskanen, their offense and defense are a little banged up. Jake Oettinger has had a rough time in this series, and their offense was shut out in Game 4. Dallas will need to get back to their aggressive style of play to have a shot at winning.

Key Players:

  • Matt Duchene: 82 points

  • Jake Oettinger: 2.59 GAA, .909 SV%

Betting Trends:

Colorado Avalanche:

  • 4-2 in their last 6 games against Dallas

  • The total has gone over in 4 of their last 6 games on the road

Dallas Stars:

  • 2-9 in their last 11 games

  • The total has gone under in 4 of their last 5 games

Exact Score Prediction:

Colorado Avalanche 3 – Dallas Stars 2

Our Best Bet:

Colorado Avalanche ML (-140)

With the Avalanche rolling after a dominant Game 4 performance, their offense, led by Nathan MacKinnon, is in top form. Mackenzie Blackwood has been solid in goal, while Dallas has struggled, especially with key players missing. The Avalanche’s power play will be a significant factor, and they should be able to pull out the win on the road.

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