Avalanche vs. Stars Picks and Prediction – 4/19/2025

Colorado Avalanche (47-31-4) @ Dallas Stars (50-24-8)
Time: 8:30 PM ET
Location: American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX
TV: TNT, truTV, Max

Previous Games:

  • Avalanche: Closed the regular season with a 4-2 win over Anaheim

  • Stars: Finished the season with a 50-win record but lost their final seven games

Head-to-Head:

Dallas won 6 of the last 10 meetings with Colorado, but the Avalanche have been strong offensively, and Dallas is limping into the playoffs after a rough final stretch.

Colorado Avalanche Breakdown:

The Avalanche enter the postseason with mixed form, having won 2 of their last 3 games but losing 3 of the last 5. Nathan MacKinnon had an outstanding season with 116 points (32 goals, 84 assists) and is the driving force behind Colorado’s offense. However, the Avs are dealing with several injuries, including Gabriel Landeskog out long-term, and Jonathan Drouin, Valeri Nichushkin, and Artturi Lehkonen all day-to-day. Colorado is strong defensively, allowing just 2.82 goals per game, and MacKenzie Blackwood posted 28 wins with a 2.55 GAA and .912 SV%.

Key Players:

  • Nathan MacKinnon: 116 points (32G, 84A)

  • Cale Makar: 67 points (15G, 52A)

Dallas Stars Breakdown:

Dallas enters the playoffs on a seven-game losing streak, but they still boast strong players like Matt Duchene (82 points, 30 goals, 52 assists) and Jason Robertson (35 goals). The Stars are a tough team on home ice, where they went 28-10-3. Their defense is solid, allowing just 2.71 goals per game, and Jake Oettinger posted 36 wins with a 2.59 GAA and .909 SV%. However, Dallas has been struggling lately, with their penalty kill dropping to 71.4% over their last 10 games, and Miro Heiskanen is out until at least Game 2.

Key Players:

  • Matt Duchene: 82 points (30G, 52A)

  • Jake Oettinger: 2.59 GAA, .909 SV%

Betting Trends:

Colorado Avalanche:

  • 13-7 in their last 20 games

  • The total has finished over in all of Colorado's last five games on the road against Dallas

Dallas Stars:

  • 0-7 in their last seven games

  • The total has finished over in four of Dallas' last five games against Colorado

Exact Score Prediction:

Dallas Stars 4 – Colorado Avalanche 3

Our Best Bet:

Dallas Stars -140

Despite their recent struggles, the Stars have home ice and a deep roster, with Jake Oettinger poised to be the difference in net. Colorado has the offensive firepower with MacKinnon, but their injuries and lack of consistency give Dallas the edge, especially on home ice.

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