Wizards vs. Heat Picks and Prediction – 4/13/2025

Washington Wizards (17-64) vs. Miami Heat (37-44)
Time: 1:00 PM ET
Location: Kaseya Center, Miami, FL
TV: NBA League Pass

Previous Games:

  • Heat: Coming off a dominant 153-104 win over the Pelicans

  • Wizards: Lost 119-89 to the Bulls, now on a 5-game losing streak

Head-to-Head:

Miami has covered the spread in 4 straight meetings against Washington and is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 home games. Washington, on the other hand, has failed to cover in 11 of its last 15 and continues to struggle both offensively and defensively.

Washington Wizards Breakdown:

The Wizards limp into the season finale on a cold streak, losing 8 of their last 9 and posting just 102.7 points per game in their last 10 contests. They’ve been outrebounded by over 11 boards per game in that span and are allowing 120.0 points per game defensively. Jordan Poole leads the way with 20.5 points, but inefficiency and lack of depth have plagued this team all season.

Key Players:

  • Jordan Poole: 20.5 PPG, 4.5 APG

  • Alex Sarr: 13.1 PPG, 6.5 RPG

Miami Heat Breakdown:

Miami is clicking at the right time, winning 7 of their last 10 games and averaging a scorching 120.0 points per game in that span. Their defense has held opponents to just 104.9 points per game, and they’re getting balanced contributions across the board. With the postseason around the corner, expect the Heat to stay sharp and focused for this home finale.

Key Players:

  • Tyler Herro: 23.9 PPG, 5.5 APG

  • Bam Adebayo: 23 PTS, 12 REB vs. Pelicans

  • Alec Burks: 3.1 threes per game at 45.6%

Betting Trends:

Washington Wizards:

  • 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games

  • UNDER has hit in 6 of their last 7

Miami Heat:

  • 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games

  • OVER has hit in 5 of their last 6

Exact Score Prediction:

Miami Heat 120 – Washington Wizards 104

Our Best Bet:

Miami Heat -9.5 (-110)

Miami has covered this number in 7 of their last 10 games and has done so in four straight matchups against the Wizards. With Washington bottoming out to close the year and the Heat using this game as a playoff tune-up, the motivation and momentum heavily favor the home team. Expect Miami to take care of business with a fast-paced offensive effort and stifling defense against a struggling Wizards squad.

Want access to our premium picks? Click here for a FREE 1 day trial

Back to blog