Warriors vs. Rockets Picks and Prediction – 4/20/2025

Golden State Warriors (47-36) vs. Houston Rockets (52-30)
Time: 9:30 PM ET
Location: Toyota Center, Houston, TX
TV: TNT, truTV, Max

Previous Games:

  • Warriors: Defeated Memphis 121-116 in play-in

  • Rockets: Lost to Denver 126-111 in season finale

Head-to-Head:

Golden State has absolutely owned Houston in recent years, winning 8 of the last 10 matchups. They’ve also been strong on the road lately, with 6 straight wins away from home, including a big win in the play-in to clinch the 7-seed.

Golden State Warriors Breakdown:

Golden State enters this series with momentum. They’ve gone 7-3 in their last 10 games, averaging 120.6 points per game during that stretch. Stephen Curry is red-hot, posting 28.3 PPG and knocking down nearly 44% from three. The Warriors’ offense is clicking, and their experience in the playoffs gives them a massive edge over a young Rockets squad.

Key Players:

  • Stephen Curry: 28.3 PPG, 5.7 APG, 43.4% 3PT

  • Jimmy Butler III: 17.9 PPG

  • Draymond Green: 5.9 RPG, veteran leadership

Houston Rockets Breakdown:

The Rockets were one of the surprise teams this season, but they’ve dropped 3 straight heading into the postseason and haven’t played a competitive game in over a week. While they boast solid depth with seven players in double-digit scoring, their youth and lack of playoff experience could be an issue in a tight, physical matchup.

Key Players:

  • Jalen Green: 21.0 PPG

  • Alperen Sengun: 19.1 PPG, 10.3 RPG

  • Fred VanVleet: 5.6 APG

Betting Trends:

Golden State Warriors:

  • 6 straight road wins

  • 8-2 ATS in last 10 road games

  • OVER has hit in 10 of last 13 Sunday games

Houston Rockets:

  • Lost 3 straight games

  • 5-10 ATS in last 15

  • OVER has hit in 5 of last 6

Exact Score Prediction:

Golden State Warriors 111 – Houston Rockets 106

Our Best Bet:

OVER 213.5 (-110)

This one has all the ingredients for a high-scoring shootout. The Warriors have been pouring in points lately, and Houston’s offense has quietly averaged nearly 120 points per game over their last 10. Both teams rank in the top half of the league in pace, and with Golden State’s recent OVER trend (especially on Sundays) and Houston’s home OVER streak, this total is set a bit too low for the firepower on the floor.

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