Timberwolves vs. Warriors Picks and Prediction – 5/12/2025

Minnesota Timberwolves (8-2) vs. Golden State Warriors (5-5)
Time: 10:00 PM ET
Location: Chase Center, San Francisco, CA
TV: ESPN

Previous Games:

  • Timberwolves: Coming off a 102-97 win vs. Golden State in Game 3

  • Warriors: 2-game losing streak, including the loss to Minnesota in Game 3

Head-to-Head:

Minnesota leads the series 2-1, and they have shown their ability to contain Golden State without Stephen Curry. While the Warriors are strong at home, they’ve struggled in the absence of their star player, and the Timberwolves have capitalized on that.

Minnesota Timberwolves Breakdown:

Minnesota has been on fire, winning 8 of their last 10 games, including a key win in Game 3. Anthony Edwards has stepped up as the leader, scoring 36 points in Game 3 and averaging 26.2 points per game in the playoffs. Julius Randle also contributed heavily, posting a triple-double with 24 points, 12 assists, and 10 rebounds. The Timberwolves have been efficient, averaging 107.7 points in their last 10 games while limiting their opponents to just 98.7 points per game. With Golden State lacking Curry, the Timberwolves’ depth will be crucial in maintaining their edge.

Key Players:

  • Anthony Edwards: 26.2 points, 4.2 rebounds, 3.4 assists

  • Julius Randle: 22.6 points, 6.2 assists, 9.4 rebounds

Golden State Warriors Breakdown:

The Warriors are in trouble without Stephen Curry, and their offense has struggled, averaging just 101.7 points per game over their last 10. Jimmy Butler has been doing all he can, but the Warriors have been inconsistent, especially on defense. In Game 3, they shot only 43.2% from the field and were out-rebounded by Minnesota. Golden State has lost 6 of its last 8 games at home against the spread, and with their top scorer out, it’s tough to see them pulling this one off.

Key Players:

  • Jimmy Butler: 20.2 points, 6.8 rebounds, 5.3 assists

  • Klay Thompson: 16.8 points, 3.2 rebounds

Betting Trends:

Minnesota Timberwolves:

  • 4-2 ATS in their last 6 games

  • The UNDER has cashed in 10 of their last 14 games

  • 6-4 ATS in their last 10 games overall

Golden State Warriors:

  • 2-6 ATS in their last 8 home games

  • The UNDER has cashed in 5 of their last 7 as the underdog

  • 5-5 in their last 10 games

Exact Score Prediction:

Minnesota Timberwolves 106 – Golden State Warriors 97

Our Best Bet:

Minnesota Timberwolves -5.5 (-110)

With Curry sidelined, Golden State's offense has been inefficient, and Minnesota has proven they can dominate both offensively and defensively. The Timberwolves have been consistent in covering the spread, especially on the road, and with their current form, they should be able to handle the Warriors comfortably. Let me know if you'd like more details!

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