Timberwolves vs. Warriors Picks and Prediction – 5/10/2025

Minnesota Timberwolves (2-2) vs. Golden State Warriors (2-2)
Time: 8:30 PM ET
Location: Chase Center, San Francisco, CA
TV: ABC

Previous Games:

  • Timberwolves: Dominated Game 2 with a 117-93 win, then lost Game 3 at Golden State.

  • Warriors: Bounced back in Game 3 behind strong defensive effort.

Head-to-Head:

The series is tied 1-1, but Minnesota's Game 2 performance showed what they can do when they limit turnovers and hit their shots. Golden State will have the home crowd behind them, but their offense has been inconsistent without Stephen Curry.

Minnesota Timberwolves Breakdown:

The Timberwolves have leaned on Anthony Edwards, who’s averaging 26.2 PPG and 5.5 APG in the playoffs, and Julius Randle, who adds another 21.8 PPG. Minnesota’s defense has been elite, allowing just 104.2 PPG, while holding opponents to 43.4% shooting. They’re also dominant on the glass with Rudy Gobert averaging 10.1 RPG. Minnesota has covered the spread in 4 of their last 5 games and looks more complete on both ends.

Key Players:

  • Anthony Edwards: 26.2 PPG, 5.5 APG

  • Rudy Gobert: 10.1 RPG, 1.8 BPG

  • Julius Randle: 21.8 PPG

Golden State Warriors Breakdown:

Without Stephen Curry, Golden State is struggling to find rhythm. Jimmy Butler III has been doing a bit of everything, leading the team in points, boards, and assists (18.6 PPG, 6.7 RPG, 5.3 APG). Jonathan Kuminga has shown flashes but turnovers have plagued the Warriors (20 in Game 2). They’re shooting just 42.8% overall and average 103.4 PPG, which won’t be enough unless their defense holds up.

Key Players:

  • Jimmy Butler III: 18.6 PPG, 6.7 RPG, 5.3 APG

  • Jonathan Kuminga: 17.3 PPG, 53% FG in last 3 games

Betting Trends:

Minnesota Timberwolves:

  • 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games

  • UNDER has hit in 9 of their last 13

Golden State Warriors:

  • 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games

  • 1-6 ATS in their last 7 home games

Exact Score Prediction:

Minnesota Timberwolves 105 – Golden State Warriors 95

Our Best Bet:

Minnesota Timberwolves -5.5 (-110)

The Timberwolves have the better defense, more depth, and a go-to scorer in Anthony Edwards. Golden State’s home court advantage is muted without Curry, and their recent ATS record at Chase Center is poor. Minnesota’s defense should create problems once again and give them the edge to cover.

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