Timberwolves vs. Thunder Picks and Prediction – 5/28/2025
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Minnesota Timberwolves (49-33) vs. Oklahoma City Thunder (57-25)
Time: 8:30 PM ET
Location: Paycom Center, Oklahoma City, OK
TV: ESPN
Previous Games:
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Thunder: Won Game 4, 128-126, to lead series 3-1.
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Timberwolves: Despite shooting 51.2% from the field, turnovers (23) plagued them in Game 4.
Head-to-Head:
Oklahoma City has won three of the four games in the series and is 2-0 at home against Minnesota. The Timberwolves have struggled to contain the Thunder’s dynamic backcourt.
Minnesota Timberwolves Breakdown:
Minnesota’s defense has been porous in this series, giving up an average of 119.3 PPG. Anthony Edwards has carried the load offensively (26.5 PPG), but the team’s turnovers and inconsistent defensive effort have made it hard to keep pace with the Thunder.
Key Players:
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Anthony Edwards: 26.5 PPG, 5.7 APG
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Rudy Gobert: 8.8 RPG, 1.9 BPG
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Julius Randle: 22.8 PPG
Oklahoma City Thunder Breakdown:
The Thunder have been relentless on offense, shooting over 50% in the playoffs and controlling the pace. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has been the difference-maker, torching Minnesota with 40 points in Game 4. Oklahoma City’s depth and home-court advantage have been key.
Key Players:
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Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: 29.1 PPG, 6.6 APG
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Chet Holmgren: 8.8 RPG, 2.4 BPG
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Jalen Williams: 20.1 PPG
Betting Trends:
Minnesota Timberwolves:
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8-4 ATS in their last 12 games.
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The OVER has hit in 5 of their last 6.
Oklahoma City Thunder:
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4-9 ATS in their last 13 games.
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The OVER has hit in 5 of their last 6.
Exact Score Prediction:
Oklahoma City Thunder 117 – Minnesota Timberwolves 108
Our Best Bet:
Oklahoma City Thunder -4.5 (-110)
OKC covering the modest spread at home is another solid angle. The Thunder have dominated Minnesota at home this series, and with Shai Gilgeous-Alexander’s unstoppable form, Oklahoma City should close it out convincingly.
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