Timberwolves vs. Lakers Picks and Prediction – 4/30/2025

Minnesota Timberwolves (3-1) vs. Los Angeles Lakers (1-3)
Time: 10:00 PM ET
Location: Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles, CA
TV: TNT, truTV, Max

Previous Games:

  • Timberwolves: Won 3 of the first 4 games in the series

  • Lakers: Coming off a 38-point effort from Luka Doncic in Game 4 loss

Head-to-Head:

Minnesota has dominated this first-round matchup, winning three of four games behind stellar play from Anthony Edwards. The Timberwolves won both of their road games in this series and have covered in 5 of their last 7 overall. The Lakers, meanwhile, are just 1-4 ATS over their last five games and must win to stay alive.

Minnesota Timberwolves Breakdown:

Minnesota is averaging 108.5 points per game in the postseason while holding opponents to just 103.6. The Timberwolves are shooting 45.1% from the field and 38.1% from deep. Anthony Edwards has been dominant on both ends, leading the team in points (29.8), rebounds (7.8), and assists (5.8). The Timberwolves' defense, led by Rudy Gobert, continues to make life difficult for the Lakers.

Key Players:

  • Anthony Edwards: 29.8 PPG, 7.8 RPG, 5.8 APG

  • Julius Randle: 22.5 PPG

  • Rudy Gobert: 10.8 RPG

Los Angeles Lakers Breakdown:

Los Angeles is struggling to generate efficient offense, averaging just 101.5 points per game in the series. The team has been out-rebounded and outpaced by a more aggressive Minnesota squad. Luka Doncic has been their primary weapon, averaging 30.8 points per game, while LeBron James contributes across the board with 26.3 points, 9.5 rebounds, and 5.5 assists. Still, LA’s inability to defend the perimeter and control the glass is hurting them in this matchup.

Key Players:

  • Luka Doncic: 30.8 PPG

  • LeBron James: 26.3 PPG, 9.5 RPG, 5.5 APG

Betting Trends:

Minnesota Timberwolves:

  • 5-2 ATS in their last 7

  • UNDER has hit in 7 of their last 10 games

  • UNDER is 7-1 in their last 8 vs. Lakers

Los Angeles Lakers:

  • 1-4 ATS in their last 5

  • UNDER has hit in 6 of their last 8 vs. Timberwolves

  • Covered -5.5 in 6 of their last 10 home games

Exact Score Prediction:

Los Angeles Lakers 106 – Minnesota Timberwolves 100

Our Best Bet:

UNDER 210.5 (-110)

Both teams have leaned heavily on defense this series, with the UNDER cashing in 7 of their last 8 head-to-head matchups. Minnesota’s elite defense and Los Angeles’ postseason scoring struggles point toward another low-scoring battle. With desperation in the air, expect tight half-court play and high defensive intensity from both sides.

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