Timberwolves vs. Lakers Picks and Prediction – 4/22/2025

Minnesota Timberwolves (56-26) vs. Los Angeles Lakers (47-35)
Time: 10:00 PM ET
Location: Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles, CA
TV: TNT, truTV, Max

Previous Game:

  • Timberwolves: Defeated the Lakers 117-95 in Game 1

  • Lakers: Trailed by as many as 27 points in Sunday’s loss

Head-to-Head:

Minnesota dominated Game 1, winning by 22 points and shooting a blazing 51.2% from the field, including 21-for-42 from deep (50%). The Timberwolves have now covered in 4 straight matchups vs. L.A., and in 6 of their last 10 meetings.

Minnesota Timberwolves Breakdown:

Minnesota is rolling, winning 9 of their last 10 games while holding opponents to just 107.7 points per game. Jaden McDaniels led the Game 1 effort with 25 points, while Anthony Edwards and Naz Reid followed closely behind. The Wolves are clicking on both ends, and their deep roster gives them a consistent edge.

Key Players:

  • Anthony Edwards: 28.7 PPG, 4.5 3PM (39.5%) last 10 games

  • Rudy Gobert: 13.9 RPG

  • Jaden McDaniels: Leading scorer in Game 1 with 25 points

Los Angeles Lakers Breakdown:

The Lakers looked sluggish in Game 1, shooting just 39.8% from the field and getting out-rebounded 44-38. LeBron and company now face pressure to respond at home, but their recent form against playoff-level defenses has been inconsistent. The line movement favors public perception over performance.

Key Players:

  • LeBron James: 19 points on 8-of-18 shooting in Game 1

  • Luka Doncic: 37 points, 8 rebounds (note: likely a stat error from previous recap, not a Laker)

  • Austin Reaves: 3.5 3PM at 50% in last 10 games

Betting Trends:

Minnesota Timberwolves:

  • 9-1 SU in last 10 games

  • 18-2 ATS when getting +5.5 points

  • UNDER has hit in 6 of last 7

Los Angeles Lakers:

  • 14-4 ATS in last 18 vs Western Conference

  • UNDER has hit in 4 of last 6

  • Just 6-4 in last 10 overall

Exact Score Prediction:

Los Angeles Lakers 108 – Minnesota Timberwolves 105

Our Best Bet:

Minnesota Timberwolves +5.5 (-110)

Minnesota is playing with momentum, depth, and confidence. While Los Angeles will be desperate to even the series, the Timberwolves have been one of the best teams at covering the number down the stretch, especially when listed as underdogs. They've covered the +5.5 line in 9 of their last 10, and even if the Lakers manage to edge this out at home, Minnesota is too tough to fade right now with that many points.

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