Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies Picks and Prediction – 4/10/2025

Minnesota Timberwolves (46-33) vs. Memphis Grizzlies (47-32)
Time: 9:30 PM ET
Location: FedExForum, Memphis, TN
TV: TNT, truTV, Max

Previous Games:

  • Grizzlies: Coming off a 124-100 win vs. Charlotte

  • Timberwolves: Lost 110-103 vs. Milwaukee after 4th-quarter collapse

Head-to-Head:

Memphis has won the last two matchups against Minnesota by narrow margins, but the Timberwolves are in better overall form and looking to bounce back with more on the line for playoff seeding.

Minnesota Timberwolves Breakdown:

The Timberwolves have won 6 of their last 10 games, and are averaging 119.1 PPG while shooting nearly 49% from the field. Their defense has held opponents to just 112.4 PPG in that span. Anthony Edwards continues to lead the charge, averaging 27.4 points per game, and Rudy Gobert is anchoring the paint with 10.9 rebounds per game. The Wolves have also won 7 of their last 10 road games, making them a strong away team in this stretch.

Key Players:

  • Anthony Edwards: 25+ points in 5 of last 7 games

  • Rudy Gobert: 13.9 rebounds per game

Memphis Grizzlies Breakdown:

Memphis has lost 4 of their last 5 home games, and while they did rout Charlotte recently, that win came against one of the worst teams in the league. The Grizzlies have dropped 7 of their last 10 home contests, and their defense has been vulnerable, allowing 116.7 PPG. While Ja Morant and Jaren Jackson Jr. are producing, inconsistent team defense and late-game execution have been major issues.

Key Players:

  • Ja Morant: 22.9 PPG, 7.3 APG

  • Jaren Jackson Jr.: 20.3 PPG, shooting 41.7% from three

Betting Trends:

Minnesota Timberwolves:

  • 7-3 in their last 10 road games

  • 4-1 in their last 5 overall

Memphis Grizzlies:

  • Lost 3 straight home games

  • 3-7 in their last 10 at home

Exact Score Prediction:

Minnesota Timberwolves 116 – Memphis Grizzlies 109

Our Best Bet:

Minnesota Timberwolves ML (+105)

Minnesota has been the more consistent and balanced team, especially on the road. With playoff seeding still in play, expect a motivated effort led by Anthony Edwards and anchored by Gobert’s interior defense. Memphis has struggled at home and lacks the late-game execution Minnesota has shown recently. With better form and more urgency, the Timberwolves should win outright as a slight underdog.

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