Thunder vs. Suns Picks and Prediction – 4/9/2025

Oklahoma City Thunder (64-14) vs. Phoenix Suns (35-43)
Time: 10:00 PM ET
Location: Footprint Center, Phoenix, AZ
TV: NBA League Pass

Previous Games:

  • Thunder: Lost to the Los Angeles Lakers 126-99

  • Suns: Will play on the road Tuesday against the Golden State Warriors

Head-to-Head:

Oklahoma City is heavily favored in this matchup, particularly given their dominant form and recent success. Phoenix has struggled in their last few games, with six consecutive losses, while Oklahoma City continues to show why they’re the best team in the Western Conference. Despite both teams completing back-to-backs, Oklahoma City's offensive firepower and defensive capabilities should easily overwhelm the Suns.

Oklahoma City Thunder Breakdown:

The Thunder have been one of the most consistent teams in the NBA, boasting an impressive 64-14 record and already clinching the Western Conference title. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander continues to lead the charge, averaging 32.6 points per game, and Jalen Williams has been a key contributor in scoring. The Thunder score at will, averaging 120.3 points per game, and they are one of the best teams defensively, allowing just 107.5 points per game. With a deep roster and significant motivation, Oklahoma City should have no issues securing another win.

Key Players:

  • Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: 32.6 PPG, 6.4 APG

  • Isaiah Hartenstein: 10.6 RPG

  • Jalen Williams: 21.4 PPG

Phoenix Suns Breakdown:

Phoenix has been struggling, especially in recent weeks, losing six straight games and with their playoff hopes hanging by a thread. Kevin Durant and Devin Booker remain the offensive leaders, but the Suns’ defense has been porous, allowing an average of 124.4 points per game to opponents in their last 10 games. Despite their talent, Phoenix is not playing with the cohesion necessary to compete with a team as dominant as Oklahoma City, and they will need a miracle to keep this game close.

Key Players:

  • Kevin Durant: 26.6 PPG

  • Devin Booker: 25.9 PPG, 7.0 APG

  • Mason Plumlee: 6.2 RPG

Betting Trends:

Oklahoma City Thunder:

  • 11-2 ATS in their last 13 games

  • Under has cashed in 5 of their last 8 games

Phoenix Suns:

  • 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games

  • Over has cashed in 6 of their last 9 games

Exact Score Prediction:

Oklahoma City Thunder 124 – Phoenix Suns 108

Our Best Bet:

Oklahoma City Thunder -9.5 (-110)

The Thunder have been dominant all season and will continue to assert their superiority over Phoenix, especially given the Suns' recent struggles. Oklahoma City has covered large spreads regularly, and even on the road with a back-to-back, they should have no trouble covering the 9.5-point line. The Suns’ defense is too weak, and Oklahoma City’s offense is too potent for Phoenix to keep up.

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