Thunder vs. Jazz Picks and Prediction – 4/11/2025

Oklahoma City Thunder (66-14) @ Utah Jazz (17-63)
Time: 9:30 PM ET
Location: Delta Center, Salt Lake City, UT
TV: Jazz+ Network

Previous Games:

  • Thunder: Won 125-112 against Phoenix on Tuesday

  • Jazz: Won 133-126 in overtime against Portland on Tuesday

Head-to-Head:

Oklahoma City enters this game with one of the best records in the NBA and is in strong form, while Utah has struggled significantly, particularly on defense. The Thunder have been dominating their opponents, and even though the Jazz managed an overtime win last time out, they have been unable to find consistency, especially defensively. This matchup will likely be a tough one for Utah, who has struggled against the high-powered offense of the Thunder.

Oklahoma City Thunder Breakdown:

The Thunder are one of the most potent offensive teams in the league, averaging 120.3 points per game, and they play solid defense, giving up just 107.5 points. They’ve been excellent against the spread recently, covering the -10.5 line in 7 of their last 10 games. With a lineup featuring Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Isaiah Hartenstein, Oklahoma City should dominate both ends of the court.

Key Players:

  • Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: 27.8 PPG, 6.5 APG

  • Isaiah Hartenstein: 7.9 RPG

  • Luguentz Dort: 2.9 3PM (50.9%)

Utah Jazz Breakdown:

The Jazz are having a tough season, ranking near the bottom of the league in both offensive and defensive efficiency. Despite a recent overtime win, they are just 1-9 in their last 10 games, and their defense has allowed an alarming 129.7 points per game over that stretch. Against a high-scoring team like Oklahoma City, this could be another rough outing for Utah.

Key Players:

  • Collin Sexton: 18.3 PPG

  • Kyle Filipowski: 9.9 RPG

  • Isaiah Collier: 6.1 APG

Betting Trends:

Oklahoma City Thunder:

  • 13-2 ATS in their last 15 games

  • 5 out of their last 7 games have gone over the total

  • Covered the -10.5 line in 7 of their last 10 games

Utah Jazz:

  • 1-9 in their last 10 games

  • 4 of their last 5 games have gone over the total

  • 6 of their last 10 games against Oklahoma City, they haven't covered the +10.5 line

Exact Score Prediction:

Oklahoma City Thunder 121 – Utah Jazz 107

Our Best Bet:

Oklahoma City Thunder -10.5 (-110)

With the Thunder rolling and Utah struggling to keep up defensively, the spread seems like a safe bet. Oklahoma City has been excellent on the road, and their offense should easily overcome Utah's weak defense. Look for the Thunder to cover the spread, especially given Utah’s inability to perform against top-tier teams. The over on the points total is also worth considering due to the high-scoring nature of both teams.

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