Thunder vs. Grizzlies Picks and Prediction – 4/26/2025

Oklahoma City Thunder (57-25) vs. Memphis Grizzlies (27-55)
Time: 3:30 PM ET
Location: FedExForum, Memphis, TN
TV: TNT

Previous Games:

  • Thunder: 3-game playoff win streak

  • Grizzlies: Lost 3 straight to OKC

Head-to-Head:

Oklahoma City has completely dominated Memphis in this series, winning the first three games by an average margin of 18 points. The Thunder’s depth, defense, and firepower have overwhelmed a depleted Grizzlies team that simply doesn’t have the offense to keep up.

Oklahoma City Thunder Breakdown:

The Thunder have been rolling, winning 8 of their last 10 games overall. They’re averaging 121.3 points per game while holding opponents to just 108.4 points. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Jalen Williams have been dynamic, while Chet Holmgren continues to own the boards. Oklahoma City’s elite balance on both ends of the court makes them dangerous every night.

Key Players:

  • Jalen Williams: 22.0 PPG, 5.5 APG

  • Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: 21.0 PPG, 4.4 APG

Memphis Grizzlies Breakdown:

The Grizzlies are severely outmatched without key stars at full health. They’re managing just 89.5 points per game in this series, getting crushed on the boards and struggling to find offensive rhythm. Jaren Jackson Jr. has been solid, but it hasn’t been enough to keep pace with OKC's firepower.

Key Players:

  • Ja Morant: 20.0 PPG, 5.0 APG

  • Jaren Jackson Jr.: 15.0 PPG

Betting Trends:

Oklahoma City Thunder:

  • 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games.

  • UNDER has hit in 6 of their last 9 Thursday games.

Memphis Grizzlies:

  • 6-12 ATS in their last 18 games.

  • UNDER has hit in each of the last 5 games vs. Thunder.

Exact Score Prediction:

Oklahoma City Thunder 110 – Memphis Grizzlies 95

Our Best Bet:

Under 220.5 (-110)

Oklahoma City’s defense has clamped down on Memphis, holding them to under 90 points per game this series. With the Grizzlies struggling to create offense and OKC likely to control the pace again, this game has all the makings of another low-scoring blowout. The trends overwhelmingly favor the UNDER, and given how dominant the Thunder defense has been, that’s the sharpest play here.

Want access to our premium picks? Click here for a FREE 1 day trial

Back to blog