Spurs vs. Warriors Picks and Prediction – 4/9/2025

San Antonio Spurs (32-46) vs. Golden State Warriors (46-32)
Time: 10:00 PM ET
Location: Chase Center, San Francisco, CA
TV: NBA League Pass

Previous Games:

  • Spurs: Lost to Portland 120-109

  • Warriors: Will play on the road Tuesday against Phoenix

Head-to-Head:

Golden State is heavily favored in this matchup, especially playing at home with everything on the line for seeding in the Western Conference. San Antonio, eliminated from playoff contention, has struggled lately, while Golden State is fighting to secure a top-six spot and avoid the play-in tournament. Despite both teams completing back-to-backs, the Warriors’ motivation should give them the edge.

San Antonio Spurs Breakdown:

The Spurs have struggled over the past few weeks, losing seven of their last eight games, and they’re averaging 110.9 points per game during that stretch. They’ve had some standout individual performances from Devin Vassell and Stephon Castle, but overall, the team has lacked the consistency to compete with stronger opponents like Golden State. The Spurs also struggle defensively, allowing 118.2 points per game in their recent 10-game stretch, which is concerning against a potent Warriors offense.

Key Players:

  • Devin Vassell: 16.5 PPG

  • Stephon Castle: 14.5 PPG

  • Jeremy Sochan: 6.5 RPG

Golden State Warriors Breakdown:

Golden State has been strong lately, winning 7 of their last 10 games, and they’re averaging 118.1 points per game during that stretch. Stephen Curry remains the key player, leading the team in scoring and assists, and the Warriors have been effective on both ends of the floor. While their defense has been inconsistent at times, their offense is one of the best in the league, and their depth, especially with players like Jimmy Butler III, gives them an edge over San Antonio. Golden State is fighting for playoff positioning, making this a crucial game for them.

Key Players:

  • Stephen Curry: 24.4 PPG, 6.1 APG

  • Kevon Looney: 6.2 RPG

  • Jimmy Butler III: 17.2 PPG

Betting Trends:

San Antonio Spurs:

  • 8-4 ATS in their last 12 games in April

  • Over has cashed in 5 of their last 7 games

Golden State Warriors:

  • 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games

  • Over has cashed in 3 of their last 5 games

Exact Score Prediction:

Golden State Warriors 127 – San Antonio Spurs 108

Our Best Bet:

Golden State Warriors -15.5 (-110)

Despite the large spread, Golden State has far more motivation to win and should easily cover the 16.5-point line against a Spurs team that has struggled defensively and offensively. The Warriors’ high-scoring offense should prove too much for San Antonio, especially with their defense not being strong enough to keep the game close.

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