Spurs vs. Nuggets Picks and Prediction – 4/2/2025

San Antonio Spurs (31-43) vs. Denver Nuggets (47-28)
Time: 9:00 PM ET
Location: Ball Arena, Denver, CO
TV: NBA TV

Previous Games:

  • Spurs: Lost 148-106 vs. Golden State Warriors

  • Nuggets: Won 129-93 vs. Utah Jazz

Head-to-Head:

Denver has struggled to cover the spread at home, going 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games, while San Antonio has been much better on the road, covering 5 of their last 7 games. The Nuggets have also struggled to cover the spread recently, particularly at home.

San Antonio Spurs Breakdown:

San Antonio enters this game with 4 wins in their last 10 games, and while they've been inconsistent, they have been playing competitive basketball. The Spurs have been strong offensively, averaging 114.2 points per game, but they struggle defensively, allowing 118.5 points per contest. Devin Vassell leads the team in scoring with 16.4 PPG, and Chris Paul is key in distributing the ball with 7.6 assists per game.

Key Players:

  • Devin Vassell: 16.4 PPG

  • Chris Paul: 7.6 APG

Denver Nuggets Breakdown:

The Nuggets have had an up-and-down stretch with 5 wins and 5 losses in their last 10 games, but their offense remains potent, scoring 121.5 points per game. Nikola Jokic, the reigning MVP, continues to lead the team in all facets of the game, averaging 29.2 PPG, 12.8 RPG, and 10.2 APG. While Denver's offense has been impressive, their defense has been shaky, allowing 119.5 points per game.

Key Players:

  • Nikola Jokic: 29.2 PPG, 12.8 RPG, 10.2 APG

  • Jamal Murray: 21.6 PPG

Betting Trends:

San Antonio Spurs:

  • 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games

  • The OVER has cashed in 13 of the Spurs’ last 17 games

Denver Nuggets:

  • 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games at home

  • The OVER has cashed in 5 of the Nuggets’ last 6 games

Exact Score Prediction:

Denver Nuggets 118 – San Antonio Spurs 119

Our Best Bet:

San Antonio Spurs +8.5 (-110)

Although Denver is the more talented team, they have struggled to cover large spreads at home, especially against teams like San Antonio. With the Spurs showing some resilience recently, the +8.5 line for San Antonio offers great value. The game should remain relatively close, with San Antonio covering the spread.

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