Rockets vs. Warriors Picks and Prediction – 4/6/2025

Houston Rockets (51-27) vs. Golden State Warriors (46-31)
Time: 8:30 PM ET
Location: Chase Center, San Francisco, CA
TV: NBA TV

Previous Games:

  • Warriors: Coming off a 118-104 win vs. Denver

  • Rockets: Coming off a 125-111 win vs. Oklahoma City

Head-to-Head:

The Warriors are on a 5-game winning streak and have been playing with confidence, but Houston has been covering spreads consistently and showing strong team play.

Houston Rockets Breakdown:

The Rockets have been in excellent form, winning 8 of their last 10 games. They’re averaging 122.9 points per game and 50.4 rebounds while shooting 47.9% from the field. Alperen Şengün has been a standout, providing elite playmaking and scoring. With a balanced offense and defensive intensity, they’ve proven to be a tough matchup.

Key Players:

  • Jalen Green: 24.3 points, 2.8 made 3-pointers

  • Alperen Şengün: 9.8 rebounds, 5.0 assists

Golden State Warriors Breakdown:

The Warriors have also been strong, winning 7 of their last 10 games. Their offense is clicking with Stephen Curry leading the charge, and they’re averaging 116.1 points per game. Golden State has found their rhythm, but their defense and inconsistency in covering the spread at home may leave them vulnerable against a high-flying Rockets squad.

Key Players:

  • Stephen Curry: 19.8 points, 3.6 made 3-pointers

  • Draymond Green: 6.8 rebounds

Betting Trends:

Houston Rockets:

  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of their last 5 games.

  • 14-2 SU in their last 16 games.

Golden State Warriors:

  • 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games.

  • 5-0 SU in their last 5 games.

Exact Score Prediction:

Golden State Warriors 116 – Houston Rockets 114

Our Best Bet:

Houston Rockets +4.5

With the Rockets covering the spread in 9 of their last 10 games and Golden State not covering in 3 of their last 5 at home, we’re taking Houston to cover the +4.5 spread here. Despite Golden State's recent form, Houston has been too consistent and is expected to keep the game close. The Warriors may win, but the Rockets should be able to keep it within the 4.5-point spread.

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