Rockets vs. Lakers Picks and Prediction – 4/11/2025

Houston Rockets (52-28) @ Los Angeles Lakers (49-31)
Time: 10:30 PM ET
Location: Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles, CA
Broadcast: NBA TV

Previous Games:

  • Rockets: Lost to the Clippers 134-117 on Wednesday

  • Lakers: Beat the Mavericks 112-97 on Wednesday

Head-to-Head:

The Rockets have been performing well, maintaining a 23-16 road record. Despite losing to the Clippers, their offense has been strong all season, led by Jeff Green and Jalen Green. The Lakers, however, are a tough team at home, and their defensive and offensive balance has made them formidable. They are 30-10 at home and have a potent combination of LeBron James and Luka Doncic, who led the Lakers in their recent win over the Mavericks.

Houston Rockets Breakdown:

Houston has been efficient on both sides of the ball, particularly on the offensive glass (leading the NBA with 14.7 offensive rebounds per game). The team has a solid mix of young talent and veterans like Jeff Green (21.4 PPG), and they have the potential to keep games close.
Key Players:

  • Jeff Green: 21.4 PPG

  • Jalen Green: 21.3 PPG, 35.3% 3PT

  • Alperen Sengun: 8.9 RPG, 4.5 APG

Los Angeles Lakers Breakdown:

The Lakers are a solid all-around team, ranking highly in both offense and defense. They’ve been strong at home and have the ability to put up points, led by LeBron James, while the defense provides the necessary balance to grind out wins. Luka Doncic is a new addition, making them even more dangerous.
Key Players:

  • LeBron James: 27.8 PPG, 7.0 RPG

  • Luka Doncic: 29.2 PPG, 7.0 RPG, 7.0 APG

  • Anthony Davis: 23.0 PPG, 10.0 RPG

Betting Trends:

Houston Rockets:

  • 7-3 SU and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games

  • 18-2 ATS in their last 20 games with a +10 line

Los Angeles Lakers:

  • 6-4 SU in their last 10 games

  • 25-14-1 ATS at home this season

  • Haven’t covered the -10 spread in their last 3 games against Houston

Exact Score Prediction:

Los Angeles Lakers 113 – Houston Rockets 105

Our Best Bet:

Houston Rockets +9.5 (-110)

While the Lakers have been strong at home, the Rockets have covered the +10 spread in most of their recent matchups and have the firepower to keep this one close. Take the points with Houston, who have been excellent at staying within the spread despite their occasional losses.

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