Raptors vs. Mavericks Picks and Prediction – 4/11/2025

Raptors vs. Mavericks Picks and Prediction – 4/11/2025

Toronto Raptors (30-50) @ Dallas Mavericks (38-42)
Time: 8:30 PM ET
Location: American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX
TV: Bally Sports

Previous Games:

  • Raptors: Won 126-96 against Charlotte on Wednesday

  • Mavericks: Lost 112-97 to the Los Angeles Lakers on Wednesday

Head-to-Head:

Toronto has been playing spoiler recently, and despite being eliminated from the postseason, they’ve been covering the spread in 14 of their last 20 games. Dallas is fighting for seeding in the play-in round but has struggled to cover the spread, especially at home.

Toronto Raptors Breakdown:

The Raptors are riding a two-game win streak and have been competitive in recent games. Jonathan Mogbo delivered the first rookie triple-double of the season, showing the depth of talent. RJ Barrett leads the team with 21.3 points per game, and Scottie Barnes contributes heavily in both scoring and playmaking. Despite being eliminated from playoff contention, they have been competitive, covering the spread in 14 of their last 20 games and looking to finish the season strong.

Key Players:

  • RJ Barrett: 21.3 PPG

  • Scottie Barnes: 18.9 PPG, 5.8 APG

  • Jakob Poeltl: 9.6 RPG

Dallas Mavericks Breakdown:

Dallas is struggling with consistency as they’ve lost three straight and five of their last 10. They’ve clinched a play-in berth but need to address their recent struggles, particularly with their defense. Luka Doncic is still the star of the show, but Anthony Davis and Spencer Dinwiddie have been helping carry the load. However, the Mavericks have been terrible against the spread, particularly at home, and have failed to cover in 9 of their last 10 games at American Airlines Center.

Key Players:

  • Luka Doncic: 45 points vs. Lakers (last game)

  • Anthony Davis: 20.6 PPG, 9.6 RPG

  • Spencer Dinwiddie: 4.4 APG

Betting Trends:

Toronto Raptors:

  • 14-6 ATS in last 20 games

  • The OVER has cashed in 4 of last 6 games

Dallas Mavericks:

  • 0-5 ATS in last 5 games

  • The OVER has cashed in 12 of last 16 games

Exact Score Prediction:

Toronto Raptors 113 – Dallas Mavericks 108

Our Best Bet:

Toronto Raptors +10.5 (-110)

The Raptors have shown resilience, especially on the road, where they’ve covered the +11 line in 8 of their last 10 games. Dallas has struggled to cover the spread at home, and given their recent form, they could be in for another close game. Expect Toronto to keep it competitive, covering the spread and possibly even pulling off an upset.

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