Pacers vs. Thunder Picks and Prediction – 6/8/2025

Indiana Pacers (47-35) vs. Oklahoma City Thunder (57-25)

Time: 8:00 PM ET
Location: Paycom Center, Oklahoma City, OK
TV: ABC

Previous Games:

  • Pacers: Won Game 1, 111-110 (led for just 0.3 seconds)

  • Thunder: Blew 15-point fourth-quarter lead in Game 1

Head-to-Head:

Indiana leads the NBA Finals series 1-0 after a stunning comeback in Game 1. Despite trailing nearly the entire game, the Pacers stole a win on the road behind Tyrese Haliburton’s late jumper. OKC had previously dominated at home and now faces pressure to avoid going down 0-2.

Indiana Pacers Breakdown:

The Pacers continue to thrive as underdogs in the playoffs, using depth and ball movement to dismantle higher seeds. They're averaging 117.4 PPG this postseason with six players in double figures. Pascal Siakam has been their most consistent scorer, and Haliburton is controlling pace with 9.8 APG. Indiana has also covered in 7 of its last 9 games and is 4-1 ATS as road underdogs this postseason.

Key Players:

  • Pascal Siakam: 21.1 PPG, 5.8 RPG

  • Tyrese Haliburton: 18.8 PPG, 9.8 APG

Oklahoma City Thunder Breakdown:

The Thunder dominated three quarters in Game 1 but collapsed late. Their top-three of SGA, Jalen Williams, and Holmgren must bounce back. OKC averages 117.1 PPG in the playoffs but is just 5-10 ATS in their last 15 overall. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has carried the offense with 31.8 PPG, but bench scoring has been inconsistent. They’ll likely play with urgency in Game 2 but haven’t shown reliable late-game execution against seasoned playoff teams.

Key Players:

  • Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: 29.8 PPG, 6.9 APG

  • Chet Holmgren: 8.6 RPG, 2.4 BPG

Betting Trends:

Indiana Pacers:

  • 7-2 ATS in last 9 games

  • 4-1 ATS in last 5 road games

  • 3-0 ATS as a double-digit underdog this postseason

Oklahoma City Thunder:

  • 5-10 ATS in last 15 games

  • 15-5 ATS last 20 home games (regular season skewed)

  • Over is 6-3 in last 9 June games

Exact Score Prediction:

Oklahoma City Thunder 120 – Indiana Pacers 110

Our Best Bet:

Indiana Pacers +11 (-110)

Indiana continues to outperform expectations with strong late-game execution and balanced scoring. OKC should even the series, but 10.5 points is too wide for a team that hasn’t been dominant late in games. Expect another competitive contest with Indiana covering again.

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