Pacers vs. Nuggets Picks and Prediction – 4/6/2025

Indiana Pacers (43-35) vs. Denver Nuggets (47-31)
Time: 8:00 PM ET
Location: Ball Arena, Denver, CO

Previous Games:

  • Pacers: Defeated the Minnesota Timberwolves, 119-110

  • Nuggets: Lost to the Golden State Warriors, 118-104, snapping a 3-game losing streak

Head-to-Head:

The Indiana Pacers have been on fire lately, winning 8 of their last 10 games, while the Denver Nuggets are struggling, having lost 4 of their last 6. Despite their recent struggles, Denver remains a tough opponent, especially at home. Nikola Jokic continues to be the centerpiece of the Nuggets' offense, while the Pacers rely on the dynamic duo of Tyrese Haliburton and Pascal Siakam.

Indiana Pacers Breakdown:

The Pacers have been in great form, averaging 122.9 PPG over their last 10 games and getting solid contributions from Tyrese Haliburton (18.7 PPG, 9.2 APG) and Pascal Siakam (20.3 PPG, 6.9 RPG). They’ve been strong offensively, ranking among the top teams in scoring, shooting 50.9% from the field, and 37.2% from three-point range. They are averaging 117.1 PPG on the season.

Key Players:

  • Tyrese Haliburton: 18.7 PPG, 9.2 APG

  • Pascal Siakam: 20.3 PPG, 6.9 RPG

  • Myles Turner: 7.1 RPG

Denver Nuggets Breakdown:

The Nuggets are struggling to find consistency, having lost 4 of their last 6 games. Despite that, Nikola Jokic continues to dominate with 29.7 PPG, 12.8 RPG, and 10.2 APG. Jamal Murray and Michael Porter Jr. add plenty of scoring, but Denver has struggled defensively, allowing 117.4 PPG over the last 10 games. They score 121.1 PPG on the season, ranking among the best in the league.

Key Players:

  • Nikola Jokic: 29.7 PPG, 12.8 RPG, 10.2 APG

  • Jamal Murray: 21.6 PPG

  • Michael Porter Jr.: 18.2 PPG

Betting Trends:

Indiana Pacers:

  • 5-12 ATS in their last 17

  • The OVER has cashed in 5 of the Pacers’ last 6 games

  • The Pacers have covered +6 in 9 of their last 10 games

Denver Nuggets:

  • 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games

  • The OVER has cashed in 8 of the Nuggets’ last 12 games

  • The Nuggets have not covered -6 in 7 of their last 10 games

Exact Score Prediction:

Denver Nuggets 121 – Indiana Pacers 117

Our Best Bet:

Indiana Pacers +6

While Denver is the favorite and playing at home, their recent struggles and defensive issues make it difficult to confidently back them to cover the -6 line. The Pacers have been strong against the spread, covering +6 in 9 of their last 10 games, and this one should be close. Expect a high-scoring affair with both teams pushing the pace. The OVER on 238.5 is another strong play.

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