Pacers vs. Knicks Picks and Prediction – 5/29/2025

Indiana Pacers (50-32) vs. New York Knicks (51-31)
Time: 8:00 PM ET
Location: Madison Square Garden, New York, NY
TV: TNT, truTV, Max

Previous Games:

  • Pacers: Won Game 4, 130-121; lead series 3-1

  • Knicks: Lost Game 4; facing elimination in Game 5

Head-to-Head:

Indiana holds a 3-1 series lead, but the Knicks are determined to defend their home court in this crucial Game 5. The Pacers’ fast-paced offense has given them the upper hand, but the Knicks’ home-court advantage could be the difference-maker tonight.

Indiana Pacers Breakdown:

Indiana’s offensive surge has been led by Tyrese Haliburton and Pascal Siakam, who have both been putting up big numbers. Haliburton’s Game 4 triple-double (32 points, 15 assists, 12 rebounds) and Siakam’s 25.8 PPG in the series have been key. However, Indiana’s defense has shown vulnerabilities, especially in transition, which the Knicks can exploit.

Key Players:

  • Tyrese Haliburton: 21.0 PPG, 8.8 APG

  • Pascal Siakam: 25.8 PPG, 54.1% FG

  • Bennedict Mathurin: 20 points in 12 minutes off the bench in Game 4

New York Knicks Breakdown:

New York’s offense revolves around Jalen Brunson, who’s been unstoppable with 29.0 PPG and 6.5 APG in the last 10 games. The Knicks have thrived at home, going 5-1 in their last six games at Madison Square Garden. Although Karl-Anthony Towns is questionable, the Knicks’ defense and rebounding have historically been better at home, and they’ll likely tighten up tonight to extend the series.

Key Players:

  • Jalen Brunson: 29.0 PPG, 6.5 APG

  • OG Anunoby: 22 points in Game 4

  • Josh Hart: Key rebounds and hustle plays

Betting Trends:

Indiana Pacers:

  • 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games

  • 5-1 SU in their last 6 games

  • The total has gone OVER in 11 of their last 16 games as underdogs

New York Knicks:

  • 5-1 SU in their last 6 home games

  • 4-2 ATS in their last 6 home games

  • The total has gone OVER in 6 of their last 9 games against Indiana

Exact Score Prediction:

New York Knicks 116 – Indiana Pacers 110

Our Best Bet:

New York Knicks -4 (-115)

With their backs against the wall and the home crowd behind them, the Knicks should come out strong. Brunson’s leadership and the Knicks’ ability to lock in on defense at home give them the edge to cover the -4 spread and force a Game 6.

Back to blog