Pacers vs. Knicks Picks and Prediction – 5/23/2025
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Indiana Pacers (47-35, 7-1 SU last 8) vs. New York Knicks (50-32, 6-4 last 10)
Time: 8:00 PM ET
Location: Madison Square Garden, New York, NY
TV: TNT
Previous Game:
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Game 1: Pacers 138, Knicks 135 (OT)
Indiana stormed back from a 14-point deficit with under 3 minutes left in regulation behind huge games from Tyrese Haliburton and Aaron Nesmith, stealing Game 1 in overtime and taking a 1-0 series lead.
Head-to-Head:
Indiana leads the series 1-0 after their improbable Game 1 comeback. The Pacers have now covered the spread in 5 straight playoff road games and are thriving offensively, while the Knicks have failed to cover in 6 of their last 10 matchups vs. Indiana.
Indiana Pacers Breakdown:
The Pacers have been red-hot, going 8-2 in their last 10 games and ramping up their offensive firepower to nearly 120 points per game. Haliburton is orchestrating the offense masterfully, and the supporting cast is shooting lights out—highlighted by Nesmith's 8-for-9 three-point performance in Game 1. Their ball movement and transition game continue to be elite, and they’ve been highly effective on the road during the postseason.
Key Players:
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Tyrese Haliburton: 19.6 PPG, 9.2 APG
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Aaron Nesmith: 54.8% from three this postseason
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Pascal Siakam: Versatile two-way impact (17 PTS, 6 AST, 5 REB in Game 1)
New York Knicks Breakdown:
Despite losing Game 1, New York played well for most of the night—led by Jalen Brunson’s 43 points and strong interior play from Karl-Anthony Towns. However, 15 turnovers proved fatal, resulting in 27 points for the Pacers. The Knicks’ offensive rhythm breaks down under pressure, and their bench depth has been tested, especially late in games. They’ve dropped 4 of their last 7 home playoff games, showing signs of inconsistency.
Key Players:
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Jalen Brunson: 28.8 PPG, 7.3 APG (Postseason)
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Karl-Anthony Towns: 35 PTS, 12 REB in Game 1
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OG Anunoby/Mikal Bridges: Solid but streaky scoring contributors
Betting Trends:
Indiana Pacers:
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5-1 ATS in their last 6 games
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7-1 SU in their last 8 games
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Covered in 16 of their last 20 overall
New York Knicks:
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10-4 ATS last 14 as favorites
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4-3 ATS at home this postseason
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Total has gone UNDER in 8 of their last 12 home games
Exact Score Prediction:
Indiana Pacers 117 – New York Knicks 113
Our Best Bet:
Indiana Pacers +6 (-110)
Indiana’s late-game poise, red-hot shooting, and recent dominance on the road make them a strong bet to keep this one close—or win outright. The Knicks are tough at home but haven’t been consistent enough to trust with this margin. Indiana has now covered in 80% of recent road games, and with both teams shooting well, this game projects to be another close one. Taking the points is the smartest value play here.
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