Pacers vs. Knicks Picks and Prediction – 5/21/2025

Indiana Pacers (47-35) vs. New York Knicks (50-32)
Time: 8:00 PM ET
Location: Madison Square Garden, New York, NY
TV: TNT, Max

Previous Games:

  • Pacers: Closed out Cleveland with a 114-105 road win

  • Knicks: Dominated Boston 119-81 in Game 6 to advance

Head-to-Head:

New York won 2 of the 3 regular season matchups this year, but Indiana won the playoff series when these teams met last postseason. In those 3 regular season games, the average total was 239 points, indicating high-scoring potential when these teams face off.

Indiana Pacers Breakdown:

Indiana has thrived offensively during the postseason, ranking 2nd in offensive efficiency and averaging over 116 PPG. Their pace and ball movement have been critical, especially with Tyrese Haliburton returning to All-NBA form in the Cleveland series.

Key Players:

  • Tyrese Haliburton: 31 PTS, 8 AST, 6 REB in last game

  • Pascal Siakam: 21 PTS, 8 REB, 5 AST

  • Andrew Nembhard: 18 PTS, 6 AST

  • Indiana shooting over 50% from the field during the playoffs

New York Knicks Breakdown:

New York has leaned heavily on its defensive discipline and rebounding dominance, particularly in their stunning win over Boston. Jalen Brunson continues to be their playoff anchor, while Karl-Anthony Towns and OG Anunoby provide size and versatility.

Key Players:

  • Jalen Brunson: 23 PTS in Game 6

  • Karl-Anthony Towns: 21 PTS, 12 REB

  • OG Anunoby: 23 PTS, strong two-way presence

  • Knicks held Boston to 36% FG in last outing

Betting Trends:

Indiana Pacers:

  • 9-2 SU in last 11 games

  • 8-3 ATS in last 11 games

  • Covered the spread in 4 straight road games

  • Covered +4.5 in 16 of their last 20 overall

New York Knicks:

  • 7-3 SU in last 10 games

  • 7-3 ATS in last 10 games

  • Failed to cover -4.5 in 8 of their last 10

  • UNDER in 6 of last 10 games vs Indiana

Exact Score Prediction:

Indiana Pacers 116 – New York Knicks 112

Our Best Bet:

Indiana Pacers +4.5 (-110)

While the Knicks are rolling at home, Indiana's offense is built to exploit pace mismatches and transition scoring, both of which can break down even elite defenses. The Pacers have not only been elite ATS recently, but they also match up well with New York's style by spreading the floor and forcing rotations. With a fast tempo likely and both teams shooting well, we expect a close, high-scoring game — making Indiana +4.5 the best value on the board.

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