Pacers vs. Cavaliers Picks and Prediction – 5/13/2025

Indiana Pacers (47-35, 3-1) vs. Cleveland Cavaliers (48-34, 1-3)
Time: 7:00 PM ET
Location: Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse, Cleveland, OH
TV: TNT / truTV / Max

Previous Games:

  • Pacers: Won Game 4 at home 129-109

  • Cavaliers: Lost 3 of 4 in the series, including both home games

Head-to-Head:

Indiana has now won 5 of the last 7 meetings with Cleveland, including both road games this series. The Pacers have consistently exposed the Cavs’ lack of ball security and forced them into poor shooting decisions.

Indiana Pacers Breakdown:

The Pacers are averaging 118.9 points over their last 10 games and have won 8 of those 10. They’re shooting 48.8% from the field and sharing the ball well with nearly 30 assists per game. Indiana’s pace and depth have overwhelmed Cleveland, especially during dominant second quarters. Pascal Siakam has been efficient (9-10 FG in Game 4), and their bench continues to produce behind T.J. McConnell and Obi Toppin.

Key Players:

  • Pascal Siakam: 16.7 PPG, 53% FG in playoffs

  • Tyrese Haliburton: 8.5 APG

  • Myles Turner: 20 points, 5 rebounds in Game 4

Cleveland Cavaliers Breakdown:

The Cavaliers are averaging 119.6 points over their last 10 games but have struggled with turnovers (22 in Game 4) and shooting consistency. They’ve lost both home games this series and are just 1-7 ATS in their last 8 at home vs. Indiana. Donovan Mitchell’s ankle injury is a major concern, and Cleveland’s supporting cast has been unreliable.

Key Players:

  • Darius Garland: 21 points, 6 assists in Game 4

  • Jarrett Allen: 8.7 RPG

  • Max Strus: 11 PPG, 41% 3PT in playoffs

Betting Trends:

Indiana Pacers:

  • 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games

  • Covered +7.5 in 8 of their last 10

  • 5-1 SU in their last 6 games

Cleveland Cavaliers:

  • 1-7 ATS in their last 8 home games vs. Indiana

  • 0-2 ATS at home this series

  • The OVER has hit in 6 straight home games

Exact Score Prediction:

Indiana Pacers 115 – Cleveland Cavaliers 117

Our Best Bet:

Indiana Pacers +7.5 (-110)

Indiana has covered this line in 8 of their last 10 games and are playing with clear confidence, ball movement, and efficiency. With Donovan Mitchell’s status in doubt and Cleveland unable to handle Indiana’s tempo, this line is too generous to pass up. Expect another competitive game with the Pacers either winning outright or keeping it within a possession.

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